Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25057164›Full record

ArticleAnnals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology2014

Diabetes, antidiabetic medications, and pancreatic cancer risk: an analysis from the International Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium.

C Bosetti, V Rosato, D Li, D Silverman, G M Petersen, P M Bracci, R E Neale, J Muscat, K Anderson, S Gallinger and 29 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 130 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
130citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

130 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 283 citations in OpenAlex.

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  18. A study of the association betweenOncology letters · 2025
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70 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

39 authors at 20 institutions in 14 countries.

C BosettiDepartment of Epidemiology, IRCCS - Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche 'Mario Negri', Milan, Italy. Electronic address: cristina.bosetti@marionegri.it.
V RosatoDepartment of Epidemiology, IRCCS - Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche 'Mario Negri', Milan, Italy.
D LiM.D. Anderson Cancer Center, University of Texas, Houston.
D SilvermanDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda.
G M PetersenDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Medicine and Medical Genetics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester.
P M BracciDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.
R E NealeQueensland Institute of Medical Research, Brisbane, Australia.
J MuscatDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State University, Penn State.
K AndersonDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.
S GallingerUniversity Health Network, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
S H OlsonDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, USA.
A B MillerDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
H Bas Bueno-de-MesquitaNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven; Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Medical Center Utrecht (UMCU), Utrecht, The Netherlands; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
G SceloInternational Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), Lyon, France.
V JanoutDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Palacky University, Olomouc.
I HolcatovaInstitute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, 1st Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic.
P LagiouDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, USA; Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, School of Medicine, University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
D SerrainoUnit of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, CRO Aviano National Cancer Institute, IRCCS, Aviano.
E LucenteforteDepartment of Preclinical and Clinical Pharmacology Mario Aiazzi Mancini, Università degli Studi di Firenze, Florence, Italy.
E FabianovaRegional Authority of Public Health in Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica, Slovakia.
P A BaghurstPublic Health, Women's and Children's Hospital, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
W ZatonskiCancer Center and Institute of Oncology, Warsaw, Poland.
L ForetovaDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, Masaryk Memorial Cancer Institute, Institute and MF MU, Brno, Czech Republic.
E FonthamLouisiana State University School of Public Health, New Orleans, USA.
W R BamletDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Medicine and Medical Genetics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester.
E A HollyDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.
E NegriDepartment of Epidemiology, IRCCS - Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche 'Mario Negri', Milan, Italy.
M HassanM.D. Anderson Cancer Center, University of Texas, Houston.
A PrizmentDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.
M CotterchioDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Canada.
S ClearyUniversity Health Network, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
R C KurtzDepartment of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, USA.
P MaisonneuveDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, European Institute of Oncology, Milan, Italy.
D TrichopoulosDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, USA.
J PoleselUnit of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, CRO Aviano National Cancer Institute, IRCCS, Aviano.
E J DuellUnit of Nutrition, Environment and Cancer, Catalan Institute of Oncology (ICO-IDIBELL), L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
P BoffettaThe Tisch Cancer Institute and Institute for Translational Epidemiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, USA.
C La VecchiaDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
P Ghadirian
Istituti di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico · ITUniversity of Toronto · CAHarvard University · USMayo Clinic in Florida · USMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USNational Cancer Institute · UAThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Minnesota · USCancer Institute (WIA) · INCentre International de Recherche sur le Cancer · FRCharles University · CZEuropean Institute of Oncology · ITInstitut Català d'Oncologia · ESLouisiana State University · USMasaryk Memorial Cancer Institute · CZNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment · NLPalacký University Olomouc · CZPennsylvania State University · USPublic Health Authority of the Slovak Republic · SK

Funding

Tissue CoreP50CA102701 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI PETERSEN, GLORIA M. · 2004 to 2018
$32.7M
Pancreatic Cancer Genetic Epidemiology Consortium (PACGENE)R01CA097075 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI PETERSEN, GLORIA M. · 2002 to 2012
$15.8M
ONTARIO REGISTRY FOR STUDIES OF FAMILIAL COLON CANCERU01CA074783 · NCI · CANCER CARE ONTARIO · PI GALLINGER, STEVEN · 1997 to 2008
$12.5M
Molecular Epidemiology of Pancreatic CancerR01CA109767 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI BRACCI, PAIGE M. · 2005 to 2010
$3.2M
DNA Repair Gene Polymorphysms and Pancreatic CancerR01CA098889 · NCI · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI DUELL, ERIC J · 2003 to 2005
$793k
Pancreas cancer analysis-SF Bay Area case-control studyR03CA108370 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN FRANCISCO · PI HOLLY, ELIZABETH A. · 2004 to 2005
$152k
MTHFR POLYMORPHISMS IN PANCREATIC CANCER IN SF BAY AREAR03CA089726 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN FRANCISCO · PI HOLLY, ELIZABETH A. · 2001 to 2002
$148k
PANCREATIC CANCER CASE CONTROL STUDY IN SAN FRANCISCOR01CA059706 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN FRANCISCO · PI HOLLY, ELIZABETH A. · 1994 to 1998
–
NCI NIH HHS CA098889NCI NIH HHS CA108370NCI NIH HHS CA109767NCI NIH HHS CA59706NCI NIH HHS CA89726NCI NIH HHS N01-PC-35136NCI NIH HHS P50 CA102701NCI NIH HHS R01 CA097075NCI NIH HHS R01 CA97075NCI NIH HHS U01 CA074783NCI NIH HHS U01-CA74783World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundType 2 diabetes mellitus has been associated with an excess risk of pancreatic cancer, but the magnitude of the risk and the time-risk relationship are unclear, and there is limited information on the role of antidiabetic medications. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe analyzed individual-level data from 15 case-control studies within the Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium, including 8305 cases and 13 987 controls. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) were estimated from multiple logistic regression models, adjusted for relevant covariates.

resultsOverall, 1155 (15%) cases and 1087 (8%) controls reported a diagnosis of diabetes 2 or more years before cancer diagnosis (or interview, for controls), corresponding to an OR of 1.90 (95% confidence interval, CI, 1.72-2.09). Consistent risk estimates were observed across strata of selected covariates, including body mass index and tobacco smoking. Pancreatic cancer risk decreased with duration of diabetes, but a significant excess risk was still evident 20 or more years after diabetes diagnosis (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.03-1.63). Among diabetics, long duration of oral antidiabetic use was associated with a decreased pancreatic cancer risk (OR 0.31, 95% CI 0.14-0.69, for ≥15 years). Conversely, insulin use was associated with a pancreatic cancer risk in the short term (OR 5.60, 95% CI 3.75-8.35, for <5 years), but not for longer duration of use (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.53-1.70, for ≥15 years).

conclusionThis study provides the most definitive quantification to date of an excess risk of pancreatic cancer among diabetics. It also shows that a 30% excess risk persists for more than two decades after diabetes diagnosis, thus supporting a causal role of diabetes in pancreatic cancer. Oral antidiabetics may decrease the risk of pancreatic cancer, whereas insulin showed an inconsistent duration-risk relationship.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overCase-Control StudiesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHumansHypoglycemic AgentsInsulinLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedPancreatic NeoplasmsRisk FactorsSmokingHypoglycemic AgentsInsulincase–control studydiabetesinsulinoral antidiabeticspancreatic cancerpooled analysis

Identifiers

PMID25057164
PMCPMC4176453
OpenAlexW2159946871

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.