Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25047804›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

Positive impact of increases in condom use among female sex workers and clients in a medium HIV prevalence epidemic: modelling results from Project SIDA1/2/3 in Cotonou, Benin.

John R Williams, Michel Alary, Catherine M Lowndes, Luc Béhanzin, Annie-Claude Labbé, Séverin Anagonou, Marguerite Ndour, Isaac Minani, Clément Ahoussinou, Djimon Marcel Zannou and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
13.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

John R WilliamsSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Michel AlaryUnité de recherche en santé des populations, Centre hospitalier affilié universitaire de Québec, Département de médecine sociale et préventive, Faculté de médecine, Université Laval, Québec City, Québec, Canada.
Catherine M LowndesLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Luc BéhanzinUnité de recherche en santé des populations, Centre hospitalier affilié universitaire de Québec, Département de médecine sociale et préventive, Faculté de médecine, Université Laval, Québec City, Québec, Canada.
Annie-Claude LabbéDépartement de microbiologie, Hôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Séverin AnagonouFaculté des sciences de la santé, Université d'Abomey-Calavi, Cotonou, Bénin; Centre national hospitalier universitaire, Cotonou, Bénin.
Marguerite NdourPopulation Services International, Cotonou, Bénin.
Isaac MinaniDispensaire infections sexuellement transmissibles, Cotonou, Bénin.
Clément AhoussinouProgramme national de lutte contre le syndrome d'immunodéficience acquise et les infections sexuellement transmissibles, Cotonou, Bénin.
Djimon Marcel ZannouFaculté des sciences de la santé, Université d'Abomey-Calavi, Cotonou, Bénin; Centre national hospitalier universitaire, Cotonou, Bénin.
Marie-Claude BoilySchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Unité de recherche en santé des populations, Centre hospitalier affilié universitaire de Québec, Département de médecine sociale et préventive, Faculté de médecine, Université Laval, Québec City, Québec, Canada.
Centre hospitalier universitaire de Québec · CAImperial College London · GBCentre National Hospitalier et Universitaire Hubert Koutoukou MAGA · BJHôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont · CALondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBPopulation Services International · ZMUniversité d'Abomey-Calavi · BJ

Funding

Canadian Institutes of Health Research HCB-82159
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA comprehensive, HIV prevention programme (Projet Sida1/2/3) was implemented among female sex workers (FSWs) in Cotonou, Benin, in 1993 following which condom use among FSWs increased threefold between 1993 and 2008 while FSW HIV prevalence declined from 53.3% to 30.4%.

objectiveEstimate the potential impact of the intervention on HIV prevalence/incidence in FSWs, clients and the general population in Cotonou, Benin. METHODS AND

findingsA transmission dynamics model parameterised with setting-specific bio-behavioural data was used within a Bayesian framework to fit the model and simulate HIV transmission in the high and low-risk population of Cotonou and to estimate HIV incidence and infections averted by SIDA1/2/3. Our model results suggest that prior to SIDA1/2/3 commercial sex had contributed directly or indirectly to 93% (84-98%) of all cumulative infections and that the observed decline in FSWs HIV prevalence was more consistent with the self-reported post-intervention increase in condom use by FSWs than a counterfactual assuming no change in condom use after 1993 (CF-1). Compared to the counterfactual (CF-1), the increase in condom use may have prevented 62% (52-71%) of new HIV infections among FSWs between 1993 and 2008 and 33% (20-46%) in the overall population.

conclusionsOur analysis provides plausible evidence that the post-intervention increase in condom use during commercial sex significantly reduced HIV prevalence and incidence among FSWs and general population. Sex worker interventions can be effective even in medium HIV prevalence epidemics and need to be sustained over the long-term.

Indexed as

CondomsSex WorkersAdolescentAdultBayes TheoremBeninFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedSafe SexSex WorkYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID25047804
PMCPMC4105482
OpenAlexW2049842705

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.