Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25043339›Full record

Trial reportJournal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research2015

Limited clinical utility of a genetic risk score for the prediction of fracture risk in elderly subjects.

Joel Eriksson, Daniel S Evans, Carrie M Nielson, Jian Shen, Priya Srikanth, Marc Hochberg, Shannon McWeeney, Peggy M Cawthon, Beth Wilmot, Joseph Zmuda and 10 more

Open access · greenAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Association between a literature-based genetic risk score and bone mineral density of African American women in Women Health Initiative Study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. The Osteoporotic Fractures in Men study (MrOS): a 25-yr landmark study of skeletal health in older men.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Femoral neck width genetic risk score is a novel independent risk factor for hip fractures.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Ethnic disparities in fracture risk assessment using polygenic scores.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2023
    Observational
  11. The clinical utility of the BMD-related comprehensive genome-wide polygenic score in identifying individuals with a high risk of osteoporotic fractures.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Genetic Diagnostics in Routine Osteological Assessment of Adult Low Bone Mass Disorders.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Assessing the clinical utility of genetic profiling in fracture risk prediction: a decision curve analysis.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2021
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 8 institutions in 5 countries.

Joel ErikssonCentre for Bone and Arthritis Research, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Daniel S Evans
Carrie M Nielson
Jian Shen
Priya Srikanth
Marc Hochberg
Shannon McWeeney
Peggy M Cawthon
Beth Wilmot
Joseph Zmuda
Greg Tranah
Daniel B Mirel
Sashi Challa
Michael Mooney
Andrew Crenshaw
Magnus Karlsson
Dan Mellström
Liesbeth Vandenput
Eric Orwoll
Claes Ohlsson
Oregon Health & Science University · USUniversity of Gothenburg · SECalifornia Pacific Medical Center · USBroad Institute · USLund University · SEOregon Clinic · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

Oregon Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR000128 · NCATS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ELLISON, DAVID H · 2012 to 2015
$28.7M
Study of Osteoporotic FracturesR01AG005407 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN FRANCISCO · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON, YAFFE, KRISTINE · 1986 to 2016
$23.2M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - San Francisco Coordinating CenterU01AR066160 · NIAMS · CALIFORNIA PACIFIC MED CTR RES INSTITUTE · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON · 2013 to 2017
$9.3M
Study of Osteoporotic FracturesR01AG005394 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI ENSRUD, KRISTINE · 1986 to 2015
$6.1M
GWAS in MrOS and SOFRC2AR058973 · NIAMS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2009 to 2010
$5.7M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - MinneapolisU01AG042145 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI ENSRUD, KRISTINE · 2013 to 2019
$5.3M
Osteporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS)- Admin CenterU01AG027810 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2006 to 2017
$5.1M
STUDY OF OSTEOPOROTIC FRACTURES: VERTEBRAL FRACTURESR01AR035583 · NIAMS · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI HILLIER, TERESA A · 1986 to 2005
$3.2M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - PortlandU01AG042124 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2013 to 2019
$3.0M
Osteoporatic Fractures in Men (MrOS)U01AG042168 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI KADO, DEBORAH · 2013 to 2017
$3.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (Mr. Os) Palo AltoU01AG042143 · NIA · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI STEFANICK, MARCIA L. · 2013 to 2017
$3.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (Mr.OS)U01AG042139 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CAULEY, JANE ANN · 2013 to 2017
$2.9M
CCR NIH HHS RC2ARO58973NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000128NIAMS NIH HHS K01 AR062655NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR035582NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR035583NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR035584NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR35582NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR35583NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR35584NIAMS NIH HHS RC2 AR058973NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR066160NIA NIH HHS R01 AG005394NIA NIH HHS R01 AG005407NIA NIH HHS R01 AG027574NIA NIH HHS R01 AG027576NIA NIH HHS U01 AG027810NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042124NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042139NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042140NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042143NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042145NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042168
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is important to identify the patients at highest risk of fractures. A recent large-scale meta-analysis identified 63 autosomal single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with bone mineral density (BMD), of which 16 were also associated with fracture risk. Based on these findings, two genetic risk scores (GRS63 and GRS16) were developed. Our aim was to determine the clinical usefulness of these GRSs for the prediction of BMD, BMD change, and fracture risk in elderly subjects. We studied two male (Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study [MrOS] US, MrOS Sweden) and one female (Study of Osteoporotic Fractures [SOF]) large prospective cohorts of older subjects, looking at BMD, BMD change, and radiographically and/or medically confirmed incident fractures (8067 subjects, 2185 incident nonvertebral or vertebral fractures). GRS63 was associated with BMD (≅3% of the variation explained) but not with BMD change. Both GRS63 and GRS16 were associated with fractures. After BMD adjustment, the effect sizes for these associations were substantially reduced. Similar results were found using an unweighted GRS63 and an unweighted GRS16 compared with those found using the corresponding weighted risk scores. Only minor improvements in C-statistics (AUC) for fractures were found when the GRSs were added to a base model (age, weight, and height), and no significant improvements in C-statistics were found when they were added to a model further adjusted for BMD. Net reclassification improvements with the addition of the GRSs to a base model were modest and substantially attenuated in BMD-adjusted models. GRS63 is associated with BMD, but not BMD change, suggesting that the genetic determinants of BMD differ from those of BMD change. When BMD is known, the clinical utility of the two GRSs for fracture prediction is limited in elderly subjects.

Indexed as

Models, GeneticPolymorphism, Single NucleotideAgedAged, 80 and overBone DensityFemaleFractures, BoneHumansMaleOsteoporosisPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsDXAFRACTURE RISK ASSESSMENTGENERAL POPULATION STUDIESHUMAN ASSOCIATION STUDIESOSTEOPOROSIS

Identifiers

PMID25043339
PMCPMC4281709
OpenAlexW1895445569

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.