Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25004461›Full record

ArticleClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association2015

Risk of upper gastrointestinal cancers in patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease after a negative screening endoscopy.

Mohammad H Shakhatreh, Zhigang Duan, Nathaniel Avila, Aanand D Naik, Jennifer R Kramer, Marilyn Hinojosa-Lindsey, John Chen, Hashem B El-Serag

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Setting a Standard for Helicobacter pylori Management in Pakistan.The Korean journal of helicobacter and upper gastrointestinal research · 2026
    Article
  2. Risk of upper gastrointestinal cancer and death in persons with negative screening results: results from the National Cancer Screening Program in South Korea.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2023
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy and gastroesophageal reflux.World journal of gastroenterology · 2015
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Mohammad H ShakhatrehSection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas; Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Zhigang DuanSection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas.
Nathaniel AvilaSection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas.
Aanand D NaikSection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas.
Jennifer R KramerSection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas.
Marilyn Hinojosa-LindseySection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas.
John ChenSection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas.
Hashem B El-SeragSection of Health Services Research, Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Houston, Texas; Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas. Electronic address: hasheme@bcm.edu.
Health Services Research & Development · USBaylor College of Medicine · US

Funding

Tissue Analysis & Molecular Imaging CoreP30DK056338 · NIDDK · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Hashem B El-Serag · 2001 to 2026
$28.3M
Obesity, H pylori and Risk of Barrett's EsophagusR01CA116845 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI EL-SERAG, HASHEM B · 2007 to 2011
$2.8M
Epidemiology and Outcomes of Digestive and Liver Diseases: A Mentoring ProgramK24DK078154 · NIDDK · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI EL-SERAG, HASHEM B · 2007 to 2016
$1.1M
CCR NIH HHS R01 NCI RC4 155844NCI NIH HHS R01 CA116845NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK078154NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK056338PHS HHS UK58338
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsPractice guidelines recommend a 1-time screening endoscopy for patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) who are at high risk for Barrett's esophagus or malignancy. However, little is known about the risk of cancer in patients with negative findings from screening endoscopies.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from 121 Veterans Health Administration facilities nationwide to determine the incidence rate of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) separately, as well as any upper gastrointestinal cancers, in patients with an initial negative screening endoscopy (esophagogastroduodenoscopy [EGD]). We included veteran patients with GERD diagnosed between 2004 and 2009 who had a negative screening EGD within 1 year of diagnosis. We estimated the incidence rate of EA, and any upper gastrointestinal cancer, in patients with GERD who had a negative screening EGD. We examined differences in demographic, clinical, and facility factors among patients with and without cancer.

resultsWe identified 68,610 patients with GERD and a negative screening EGD (mean age, 55.5 y; 90% men; 67.5% white). During a mean follow-up period of 3.2 years, 10 patients developed EA and 29 patients developed any upper gastrointestinal malignancies, including EA. The incidence of subsequent EA in this group was 4.6/100,000 patient-years of follow-up evaluation, whereas the incidence of any upper gastrointestinal cancers was 13.2/100,000 patient-years of follow-up evaluation. Patients with a subsequent cancer were significantly older and had higher comorbidity scores than patients without cancer. Other clinical and facility factors did not differ significantly between these 2 groups.

conclusionsThe risk of cancer is low, over a mean 3-year period, for patients with GERD who had a negative screening endoscopy. These findings justify recommendations for a 1-time screening endoscopy for patients with GERD.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaAgedCohort StudiesEarly Detection of CancerEndoscopy, Digestive SystemEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleGastroesophageal RefluxGastrointestinal NeoplasmsHospitals, VeteransHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentCancerEndoscopyGERDIncidence

Identifiers

PMID25004461
PMCPMC4284151
OpenAlexW2064430298

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.