Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24980184›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2014

Forecasting the burden of future postmenopausal hip fractures.

T K Omsland, J H Magnus

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
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  6. Article
  7. Impact of Total Hip Replacements on the Incidence of Hip Fractures in Norway During 1999-2019. A Norwegian Epidemiologic Osteoporosis Studies (NOREPOS) Study.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2022
    Article
  8. Total flavonoids ofExperimental and therapeutic medicine · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Ethnic differences in risk of hip fracture in Norway: a NOREPOS study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
  11. Geographic variations in hip fracture incidence in a high-risk country stretching into the Arctic: a NOREPOS study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
  12. Hydroxyapatite coated hip hemiarthroplasty: Morbidity and mortality.Journal of clinical orthopaedics and trauma · 2020
    Article
  13. Grip strength in men and women aged 50-79 years is associated with non-vertebral osteoporotic fracture during 15 years follow-up: The Tromsø Study 1994-1995.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
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  15. Observational
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  20. Impact of prescription drugs on second fragility fractures among US Medicare patients.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

T K OmslandInstitute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway, t.k.omsland@medisin.uio.no.
J H Magnus

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

summaryA growing elderly population is expected worldwide, and the rate of hip fractures is decisive for the future fracture burden. Significant declines in hip fracture rates in Norway, the USA, France, Germany, and the UK are required to counteract the impact of the ageing effects.

introductionThis study aims to evaluate the consequences of the expected growth of the elderly population worldwide on the hip fracture burden using Norway as an example. Furthermore, we wanted to estimate the decline in hip fracture rates required to counteract the anticipated increase in the burden of hip fracture for Norway, the USA, France, Germany, and the UK.

methodsThe burden of future postmenopausal hip fractures in Norway were estimated given (1) constant age-specific rates, (2) continued decline, and (3) different cohort scenarios. Based on population projection estimates and population age-specific hip fracture rates in women 65 years and older, we calculated the required declines in hip fracture rates needed to counteract the growing elderly populations in Norway, the USA, France, Germany, and the UK.

resultsThe level of age-specific hip fracture rates had a huge impact on the future hip fracture burden in Norway. Even if the hip fracture rates decline at the same speed, a 22 % increase in the burden of hip fractures can be expected by 2040. An annual decline in hip fracture rates of 1.1-2.2 % until 2040 is required to counteract the effects of the growing elderly population on the future burden of hip fractures in Norway, the USA, France, Germany, and the UK.

conclusionsHip fracture rates have a great impact on the burden of hip fractures. The rates will have to decline significantly to counteract the impact of a growing elderly population. A change in preventive strategies and further studies are warranted to identify the complex causes associated to hip fractures.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overEuropeFemaleForecastingHip FracturesHumansIncidenceNorwayOsteoporosis, PostmenopausalOsteoporotic FracturesUnited States

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.