Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24974250›Full record

SynthesisThe Lancet. Infectious diseases2014

Estimates of possible severe bacterial infection in neonates in sub-Saharan Africa, south Asia, and Latin America for 2012: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Anna C Seale, Hannah Blencowe, Alexander A Manu, Harish Nair, Rajiv Bahl, Shamim A Qazi, Anita K Zaidi, James A Berkley, Simon N Cousens, Joy E Lawn and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 171 papers, 14 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
171citing papers in PubMed, 14 pooled it
22.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

171 citing papers in PubMed, 14 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 317 citations in OpenAlex.

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  20. Feasibility of manual white blood cell counts as a predictor of neonatal sepsis in a low-resource setting.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · 2020
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111 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 6 institutions in 6 countries.

Anna C SealeCentre for Tropical Medicine, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Centre for Geographic Medicine and Research-Coast, Kilifi, Kenya. Electronic address: anna.seale@ndm.ox.ac.uk.
Hannah BlencoweFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health UK, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Alexander A ManuFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health UK, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Harish NairCentre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India.
Rajiv BahlDepartment of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Shamim A QaziDepartment of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Anita K ZaidiDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
James A BerkleyCentre for Tropical Medicine, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Centre for Geographic Medicine and Research-Coast, Kilifi, Kenya.
Simon N CousensFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health UK, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Joy E LawnFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health UK, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Centre for Maternal, Adolescent, Reproductive and Child Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Saving Newborn Lives/Save the Children, Washington, DC, USA.
pSBI Investigator Group
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBWorld Health Organization · CHAga Khan University · PKNuffield Orthopaedic Centre · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

UAB/AKU Global Network Research UnitU01HD040607 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI GOLDENBERG, ROBERT L · 2001 to 2012
$8.5M
Global Network for Women's and Children's Health ResearchU10HD076461 · NICHD · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI LIECHTY, EDWARD A. · 2013 to 2017
$4.1M
Improving Quality of Care for the Treatment of Childhood PneumoniaU01HD058322 · NICHD · TUFTS UNIVERSITY BOSTON · PI HIBBERD, PATRICIA L · 2008 to 2012
$4.0M
CCHS-JNMC Global Network for Women's & Children's Health Research UnitU10HD076457 · NICHD · THOMAS JEFFERSON UNIVERSITY · PI DERMAN, RICHARD J · 2013 to 2017
$3.7M
Global Network for Women's and Children's Health ResearchUG1HD076461 · NICHD · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI BUCHER, SHERRI LYNN, SZYLD, EDGARDO GABRIEL · 2018 to 2023
$3.2M
Maternal and Child Health Benefits from Reducing Household Air PollutionU10HD078439 · NICHD · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HIBBERD, PATRICIA L · 2013 to 2017
$3.1M
Midcareer Investigator Award in Patient-Oriented Research (K24)K24AT003683 · NCCIH · TUFTS MEDICAL CENTER · PI HIBBERD, PATRICIA L · 2006 to 2015
$1.9M
NCCIH NIH HHS K24 AT003683NICHD NIH HHS U01 HD040607NICHD NIH HHS U01 HD058322NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD076457NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD076461NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD078439NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD076461Wellcome Trust 092654Wellcome Trust WT083579MAWellcome Trust WT093804MAWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBacterial infections are a leading cause of the 2·9 million annual neonatal deaths. Treatment is usually based on clinical diagnosis of possible severe bacterial infection (pSBI). To guide programme planning, we have undertaken the first estimates of neonatal pSBI, by sex and by region, for sub-Saharan Africa, south Asia, and Latin America.

methodsWe included data for pSBI incidence in neonates of 32 weeks' gestation or more (or birthweight ≥1500 g) with livebirth denominator data, undertaking a systematic review and forming an investigator group to obtain unpublished data. We calculated pooled risk estimates for neonatal pSBI and case fatality risk, by sex and by region. We then applied these risk estimates to estimates of livebirths in sub-Saharan Africa, south Asia, and Latin America to estimate cases and associated deaths in 2012.

findingsWe included data from 22 studies, for 259 944 neonates and 20 196 pSBI cases, with most of the data (18 of the 22 studies) coming from the investigator group. The pooled estimate of pSBI incidence risk was 7·6% (95% CI 6·1-9·2%) and the case-fatality risk associated with pSBI was 9·8% (7·4-12·2). We estimated that in 2012 there were 6·9 million cases (uncertainty range 5·5 million-8·3 million) of pSBI in neonates needing treatment: 3·5 million (2·8 million-4·2 million) in south Asia, 2·6 million (2·1 million-3·1 million) in sub-Saharan Africa, and 0·8 million (0·7 million-1·0 million) in Latin America. The risk of pSBI was greater in boys (risk ratio 1·12, 95% CI 1·06-1·18) than girls. We estimated that there were 0·68 million (0·46 million-0·92 million) neonatal deaths associated with pSBI in 2012.

interpretationThe need-to-treat population for pSBI in these three regions is high, with ten cases of pSBI diagnosed for each associated neonatal death. Deaths and disability can be reduced through improved prevention, detection, and case management.

fundingThe Wellcome Trust and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation through grants to Child Health Epidemiology Reference Group (CHERG) and Save the Children's Saving Newborn Lives programme.

Indexed as

Africa South of the SaharaAsiaBacterial InfectionsHumansIncidenceInfant, NewbornLatin AmericaMortalityRisk FactorsSex FactorsTopography, Medical

Identifiers

PMID24974250
PMCPMC4123782
OpenAlexW2144954482

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.