Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24971020›Full record

ArticleOncoTargets and therapy2014

Progression-free survival as a potential surrogate for overall survival in metastatic breast cancer.

Catherine Beauchemin, Dan Cooper, Marie-Ève Lapierre, Louise Yelle, Jean Lachaine

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in OncoTargets and therapy, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
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  8. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Catherine BeaucheminUniversité de Montréal, Faculté de pharmacie, Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Dan CooperInstitut national d'excellence en santé et en services sociaux (INESSS), Montreal, QC, Canada.
Marie-Ève LapierreUniversité de Montréal, Faculté de pharmacie, Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Louise YelleCentre Hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal - Hôpital Notre-Dame, Département de médecine, Université de Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Jean LachaineUniversité de Montréal, Faculté de pharmacie, Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProgression-free survival (PFS) and time to progression (TTP) are frequently used to establish the clinical efficacy of anti-cancer drugs. However, the surrogacy of PFS/TTP for overall survival (OS) remains a matter of uncertainty in metastatic breast cancer (mBC). This study assessed the relationship between PFS/TTP and OS in mBC using a trial-based approach.

methodsWE CONDUCTED A SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW ACCORDING TO THE PICO

method'Population' consisted of women with mBC; 'Interventions' and 'Comparators' were standard treatments for mBC or best supportive care; 'Outcomes' of interest were median PFS/TTP and OS. We first performed a correlation analysis between median PFS/TTP and OS, and then conducted subgroup analyses to explore possible reasons for heterogeneity. Then, we assessed the relationship between the treatment effect on PFS/TTP and OS. The treatment effect on PFS/TTP and OS was quantified by the absolute difference of median values. We also conducted linear regression analysis to predict the effects of a new anti-cancer drug on OS on the basis of its effects on PFS/TTP.

resultsA total of 5,041 studies were identified, and 144 fulfilled the eligibility criteria. There was a statistically significant relationship between median PFS/TTP and OS across included trials (r=0.428; P<0.01). Correlation coefficient for the treatment effect on PFS/TTP and OS was estimated at 0.427 (P<0.01). The obtained linear regression equation was ΔOS =-0.088 (95% confidence interval [CI] -1.347-1.172) + 1.753 (95% CI 1.307-2.198) × ΔPFS (R(2)=0.86).

conclusionResults of this study indicate a significant association between PFS/TTP and OS in mBC, which may justify the use of PFS/TTP in the approval for commercialization and reimbursement of new anti-cancer drugs in this cancer setting.

Indexed as

metastatic breast cancerprogression-free survivalsurrogate endpointtime to progression

Identifiers

PMID24971020
PMCPMC4069144

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.