ArticlePloS one2014
The unfolding counter-transition in rural South Africa: mortality and cause of death, 1994-2009.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.
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Who cites it
35 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- Factors influencing pre-hospital decision-making among stroke survivors in the rural area of South Africa: an exploratory study.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Non-communicable disease burden among inpatients at a rural district hospital in Malawi.Global health research and policy · 2023Article
- Causes and trends of adult mortality in southern Ethiopia: an eight-year follow up database study.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Article
- 'Sometimes it is not about men': Gendered and generational discourses of caregiving HIV transmission in a rural South African setting.Global public health · 2022Article
- Twin epidemics: the effects of HIV and systolic blood pressure on mortality risk in rural South Africa, 2010-2019.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Short- and long-read metagenomics of urban and rural South African gut microbiomes reveal a transitional composition and undescribed taxa.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Hypertension incidence among middle-aged and older adults: findings from a 5-year prospective study in rural South Africa, 2010-2015.BMJ open · 2021Article
- "A NOWADAYS DISEASE": HIV/AIDS AND SOCIAL CHANGE IN A RURAL SOUTH AFRICAN COMMUNITY.AJS; American journal of sociology · 2021Article
- Mortality transition over a quarter century in rural South Africa: findings from population surveillance in Agincourt 1993-2018.Global health action · 2021Article
- Education and adult mortality in middle-income countries: Surprising gradients in six nationally-representative longitudinal surveys.SSM - population health · 2020Article
- Clusters of HIV Risk and Protective Sexual Behaviors in Agincourt, Rural South Africa: Findings from the Ha Nakekela Population-Based Study of Ages 15 and Older.Archives of sexual behavior · 2020Article
- Prevalence of and characteristics associated with in-hospital mortality in a Ugandan neurology ward.BMC neurology · 2020Article
- Discrete Survival Time Constructions for Studying Marital Formation and Dissolution in Rural South Africa.Frontiers in psychology · 2020Article
- Article
- How to "Live a Good Life": Aging and HIV Testing in Rural South Africa.Journal of aging and health · 2019Article
- Sexual behavior and HIV risk across the life course in rural South Africa: trends and comparisons.AIDS care · 2018Article
- Rural-urban variations in age at menarche, adult height, leg-length and abdominal adiposity in black South African women in transitioning South Africa.Annals of human biology · 2018Article
- HIV/AIDS mortality attributable to alcohol use in South Africa: a comparative risk assessment by socioeconomic status.BMJ open · 2018Article
- Hyak mortality monitoring system: innovative sampling and estimation methods - proof of concept by simulation.Global health, epidemiology and genomics · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The HIV pandemic has led to dramatic increases and inequalities in adult mortality, and the diffusion of antiretroviral treatment, together with demographic and socioeconomic shifts in sub-Saharan Africa, has further changed mortality patterns. We describe all-cause and cause-specific mortality patterns in rural South Africa, analyzing data from the Agincourt health and socio-demographic surveillance system from 1994 to 2009 for those aged 5 years and older. Mortality increased during that period, particularly after 2002 for ages 30-69. HIV/AIDS and TB deaths increased and recently plateaued at high levels in people under age 60. Noncommunicable disease deaths increased among those under 60, and recently also increased among those over 60. There was an inverse gradient between mortality and household SES, particularly for deaths due to HIV/AIDS and TB and noncommunicable diseases. A smaller and less consistent gradient emerged for deaths due to other communicable diseases. Deaths due to injuries remained an important mortality risk for males but did not vary by SES. Rural South Africa continues to have a high burden of HIV/AIDS and TB mortality while deaths from noncommunicable diseases have increased, and both of these cause-categories show social inequalities in mortality.
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