Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24950278›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgery2015

Prediction of multiple infections after severe burn trauma: a prospective cohort study.

Shuangchun Yan, Amy Tsurumi, Yok-Ai Que, Colleen M Ryan, Arunava Bandyopadhaya, Alexander A Morgan, Patrick J Flaherty, Ronald G Tompkins, Laurence G Rahme

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgery, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. [Deepening the understanding of the diagnostic system and therapeutic strategy for burn sepsis].Zhonghua shao shang za zhi = Zhonghua shaoshang zazhi = Chinese journal of burns · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Collocated burn and fracture injuries in major trauma: a 10 year experience.Annals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England · 2020
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Observational
  16. Article
  17. Annals of burns and fire disasters · 2017
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Shuangchun Yan*Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA †Department of Microbiology and Immunobiology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA ‡Shriners Hospitals for Children Boston, Boston, MA §Department of Fundamental Microbiology, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland ¶Department of Biochemistry and Stanford Genome Technology Center, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA ‖Department of Biomedical Engineering, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worchester, MA **Program in Bioinformatics and Computational Biology, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worchester, MA.
Amy Tsurumi
Yok-Ai Que
Colleen M Ryan
Arunava Bandyopadhaya
Alexander A Morgan
Patrick J Flaherty
Ronald G Tompkins
Laurence G Rahme
Massachusetts General Hospital · USHarvard University · USShriners Hospitals for Children - Boston · USStanford University · USUniversity of Lausanne · CH

Funding

Inflammation and the Response to InjuryU54GM062119 · NIGMS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI TOMPKINS, RONALD GARY · 2001 to 2010
$78.6M
Postdoctoral Training in the Radiation ScincesT32CA121940 · NCI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI GRAVES, EDWARD E. · 2007 to 2018
$2.1M
Bridging Sustainable Distribution of TRBD Bioinformatics ResourcesR24GM102656 · NIGMS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI XIAO, WENZHONG · 2012 to 2014
$1.6M
NCI NIH HHS T32 CA121940NIGMS NIH HHS R24 GM102656NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM062119
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop predictive models for early triage of burn patients based on hypersusceptibility to repeated infections.

backgroundInfection remains a major cause of mortality and morbidity after severe trauma, demanding new strategies to combat infections. Models for infection prediction are lacking.

methodsSecondary analysis of 459 burn patients (≥16 years old) with 20% or more total body surface area burns recruited from 6 US burn centers. We compared blood transcriptomes with a 180-hour cutoff on the injury-to-transcriptome interval of 47 patients (≤1 infection episode) to those of 66 hypersusceptible patients [multiple (≥2) infection episodes (MIE)]. We used LASSO regression to select biomarkers and multivariate logistic regression to built models, accuracy of which were assessed by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and cross-validation.

resultsThree predictive models were developed using covariates of (1) clinical characteristics; (2) expression profiles of 14 genomic probes; (3) combining (1) and (2). The genomic and clinical models were highly predictive of MIE status [AUROCGenomic = 0.946 (95% CI: 0.906-0.986); AUROCClinical = 0.864 (CI: 0.794-0.933); AUROCGenomic/AUROCClinical P = 0.044]. Combined model has an increased AUROCCombined of 0.967 (CI: 0.940-0.993) compared with the individual models (AUROCCombined/AUROCClinical P = 0.0069). Hypersusceptible patients show early alterations in immune-related signaling pathways, epigenetic modulation, and chromatin remodeling.

conclusionsEarly triage of burn patients more susceptible to infections can be made using clinical characteristics and/or genomic signatures. Genomic signature suggests new insights into the pathophysiology of hypersusceptibility to infection may lead to novel potential therapeutic or prophylactic targets.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdultAPACHEArea Under CurveBacterial InfectionsBurnsBurns, InhalationCase-Control StudiesChromatin Assembly and DisassemblyCohort StudiesComorbidityCross InfectionFemaleGene Expression ProfilingGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHistonesHistones

Identifiers

PMID24950278
PMCPMC4284150
OpenAlexW2335080353

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.