Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24938522›Full record

ArticleClinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research2015

Serum CA19-9 is significantly upregulated up to 2 years before diagnosis with pancreatic cancer: implications for early disease detection.

Darragh P O'Brien, Neomal S Sandanayake, Claire Jenkinson, Aleksandra Gentry-Maharaj, Sophia Apostolidou, Evangelia-Ourania Fourkala, Stephane Camuzeaux, Oleg Blyuss, Richard Gunu, Anne Dawnay and 7 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 113 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
113citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
5.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

113 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 195 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Exploring correlations of CA19-9 with serum enzyme ratios: can layered biomarker strategies enhance prognostic accuracy in pancreatic cancer?Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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53 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Darragh P O'BrienWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Neomal S SandanayakeInstitute for Liver and Digestive Health, University College London, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom. Kolling Institute, University of Sydney, Royal North Shore Hospital, New South Wales, Australia.
Claire JenkinsonThe NIHR Liverpool Pancreas Biomedical Research Centre, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Aleksandra Gentry-MaharajWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Sophia ApostolidouWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Evangelia-Ourania FourkalaWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Stephane CamuzeauxWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Oleg BlyussWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Richard GunuWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Anne DawnayDepartment of Clinical Biochemistry, University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Alexey ZaikinWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Ross C SmithKolling Institute, University of Sydney, Royal North Shore Hospital, New South Wales, Australia.
Ian J JacobsWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom. Faculty of Medical and Human Sciences, 1.018 Core Technology Facility, University of Manchester, United Kingdom.
Usha MenonWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Eithne CostelloThe NIHR Liverpool Pancreas Biomedical Research Centre, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Stephen P PereiraInstitute for Liver and Digestive Health, University College London, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom. Department of Gastroenterology, University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
John F TimmsWomen's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom. john.timms@ucl.ac.uk.
University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

Small Molecule Enhancers of Photodynamic Therapy for Skin CancerP01CA084203 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Bryan Quilty Spring · 2001 to 2026
$27.9M
Cancer Research UK A12790Department of HealthMedical Research Council G0801228Medical Research Council G9901012NCI NIH HHS P01 CA084203
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeBiomarkers for the early detection of pancreatic cancer are urgently needed. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate whether increased levels of serum CA19-9, CA125, CEACAM1, and REG3A are present before clinical presentation of pancreatic cancer and to assess the performance of combined markers for early detection and prognosis. EXPERIMENTAL

designThis nested case-control study within the UKCTOCS included 118 single and 143 serial serum samples from 154 postmenopausal women who were subsequently diagnosed with pancreatic cancer and 304 matched noncancer controls. Samples were split randomly into independent training and test sets. CA19-9, CA125, CEACAM1, and REG3A were measured using ELISA and/or CLIA. Performance of markers to detect cancers at different times before diagnosis and for prognosis was evaluated.

resultsAt 95% specificity, CA19-9 (>37 U/mL) had a sensitivity of 68% up to 1 year, and 53% up to 2 years before diagnosis. Combining CA19-9 and CA125 improved sensitivity as CA125 was elevated (>30 U/mL) in approximately 20% of CA19-9-negative cases. CEACAM1 and REG3A were late markers adding little in combined models. Average lead times of 20 to 23 months were estimated for test-positive cases. Prediagnostic levels of CA19-9 and CA125 were associated with poor overall survival (HR, 2.69 and 3.15, respectively).

conclusionsCA19-9 and CA125 have encouraging sensitivity for detecting preclinical pancreatic cancer, and both markers can be used as prognostic tools. This work challenges the prevailing view that CA19-9 is upregulated late in the course of pancreatic cancer development.

Indexed as

AgedAntigens, CDAntigens, NeoplasmBiomarkers, TumorCA-125 AntigenCA-19-9 AntigenCarcinoembryonic AntigenCase-Control StudiesCell Adhesion MoleculesEarly Detection of CancerHumansLectins, C-TypeMiddle AgedPancreatic NeoplasmsPancreatitis-Associated ProteinsPrognosisAntigens, CDAntigens, NeoplasmBiomarkers, TumorCA-125 AntigenCA-19-9 AntigenCarcinoembryonic AntigenCD66 antigensCell Adhesion MoleculesLectins, C-TypePancreatitis-Associated ProteinsREG3A protein, human

Identifiers

PMID24938522
PMCPMC4181906
OpenAlexW2163459778

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.