Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24937151›Full record

ArticleThe Permanente journal2014

Improving care for older adults: a model to segment the senior population.

Yi Yvonne Zhou, Warren Wong, Hui Li

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in The Permanente journal, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  11. TakingAIM: A Precision Health Framework for Promoting Person-Centered Advance Care Planning.Journal of hospice and palliative nursing : JHPN : the official journal of the Hospice and Palliative Nurses Association · 2019
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  19. Identifying Patients at Risk of High Healthcare Utilization.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2016
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Yi Yvonne ZhouDirector of Health Intelligence and Analytics for Northwest Permanente in Portland, OR. yvonne.y.zhou@kp.org.
Warren WongClinical Professor of Geriatric Medicine in the School of Medicine at the University of Hawaii in Honolulu. warrenfwongmd@gmail.com.
Hui LiInformation Analyst in Health Intelligence and Analytics for Northwest Permanente in Portland, OR. hui.x.li@kp.org.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextRisk stratification and tailored interventions are key population-level care management strategies among older adults, whose needs range from screening and prevention to end-of-life care.

objectiveTo validate the Senior Segmentation Algorithm, a tool using administrative and clinical data from the electronic health record to identify each member aged 65 years and older as belonging to 1 of 4 Care Groups with similar needs: those without chronic conditions, with one or more chronic conditions, with advanced illness or end-organ failure, or with extreme frailty or nearing the end of life.

designMultiple validation methods.

main outcome measuresConcordance with physician judgment, stability of segmentation over time, convergence with mortality, hospitalization, and readmission rates, and costs of care.

resultsConcordance of the algorithm with physician-assessed segmentation of 1615 Medicare recipients was 85%. After 1 year, approximately 85% of 86,140 surviving seniors remained in the same care group; 3.9% moved to a lower need group; and 11% moved to a higher need group. Six-month and 12-month mortality rates varied substantially across care groups. The algorithm performed similarly to the likelihood of hospitalization score in predicting hospitalization and readmissions.

conclusionsThe Senior Segmentation Algorithm accurately identifies older adults in care groups with similar needs, trajectories, and utilization patterns. It is being implemented in all Kaiser Permanente Regions, with the goal of determining key elements of care for members in each group. In addition, future efforts will aim to slow progression to higher need care groups and to identify necessary improvements in delivery system design.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsChronic DiseaseDelivery of Health CareFemaleFrail ElderlyHealth Care CostsHealth Services for the AgedHealth Services Needs and DemandHospitalizationHumansMalePatient ReadmissionTerminally Ill

Identifiers

PMID24937151
PMCPMC4116260

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.