Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24927589›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2014

Badger responses to small-scale culling may compromise targeted control of bovine tuberculosis.

Jon Bielby, Christl A Donnelly, Lisa C Pope, Terry Burke, Rosie Woodroffe

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
12.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 78 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Genomic epidemiology ofMicrobial genomics · 2023
    Article
  4. Strategies for managing marine disease.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2022
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Effect of selective removal of badgers (Epidemiology and infection · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Ecological interventions to prevent and manage zoonotic pathogen spillover.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jon BielbyInstitute of Zoology, Regent's Park, London NW1 4RY, United Kingdom;
Christl A DonnellyMedical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London W2 1PG, United Kingdom; and.
Lisa C PopeDepartment of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, United Kingdom.
Terry BurkeDepartment of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, United Kingdom.
Rosie WoodroffeInstitute of Zoology, Regent's Park, London NW1 4RY, United Kingdom; rosie.woodroffe@ioz.ac.uk.
University of Sheffield · GBZoological Society of London · GBMedical Research Council · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K010174/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Where wildlife disease requires management, culling is frequently considered but not always effective. In the British Isles, control of cattle tuberculosis (TB) is hindered by infection in wild badger (Meles meles) populations. Large-scale badger culling can reduce the incidence of confirmed cattle TB, but these benefits are undermined by culling-induced changes in badger behavior (termed perturbation), which can increase transmission among badgers and from badgers to cattle. Test-vaccinate/remove (TVR) is a novel approach that entails testing individual badgers for infection, vaccinating test-negative animals, and killing test-positive animals. Imperfect capture success, diagnostic sensitivity, and vaccine effectiveness mean that TVR would be expected to leave some infected and some susceptible badgers in the population. Existing simulation models predict that TVR could reduce cattle TB if such small-scale culling causes no perturbation, but could increase cattle TB if considerable perturbation occurs. Using data from a long-term study, we show that past small-scale culling was significantly associated with four metrics of perturbation in badgers: expanded ranging, more frequent immigration, lower genetic relatedness, and elevated prevalence of Mycobacterium bovis, the causative agent of TB. Though we could not reject the hypothesis that culling up to three badgers per social group might avoid perturbation, we also could not reject the hypothesis that killing a single badger prompted detectable perturbation. When considered alongside existing model predictions, our findings suggest that implementation of TVR, scheduled for 2014, risks exacerbating the TB problem rather than controlling it. Ongoing illegal badger culling is likewise expected to increase cattle TB risks.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalMustelidaeTuberculosis, BovineTuberculosis VaccinesAnimalsCattleFemaleMaleMycobacterium bovisUnited KingdomTuberculosis VaccinesBacillus Calmette-Guérinepidemiologywildlife managementzoonotic disease

Identifiers

PMID24927589
PMCPMC4078854
OpenAlexW2076443071

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.