Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24926196›Full record

ArticleNeuropsychiatric disease and treatment2014

Disease progression model for Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Boxes in mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer's subjects from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative.

Mahesh N Samtani, Nandini Raghavan, Gerald Novak, Partha Nandy, Vaibhav A Narayan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neuropsychiatric disease and treatment, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Assessing clinical progression measures in Alzheimer's disease trials: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Cognitive Outcomes After Hip Fracture Surgery: The Association of Postoperative Delirium on Previously Cognitively Normal Older Adults.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2026
    Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. 36-month LipiDiDiet multinutrient clinical trial in prodromal Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2021
    Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Lecanemab use in Chinese patients with Alzheimer's disease: a 12-month multicenter real-world study.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Observational
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Flexible Multimodal Neuroimaging Fusion for Alzheimer's Disease Progression Prediction.Applications of medical artificial intelligence. AMAI (Workshop) (4th : 2024 : Taejon-si, Korea) · 2026
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Development and Preliminary Validation of Standardized Regression-Based Change Scores as Measures of Transitional Cognitive Decline.Archives of clinical neuropsychology : the official journal of the National Academy of Neuropsychologists · 2025
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Observational
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Mahesh N SamtaniJanssen Research and Development, LLC, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Nandini RaghavanJanssen Research and Development, LLC, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Gerald NovakJanssen Research and Development, LLC, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Partha NandyJanssen Research and Development, LLC, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.
Vaibhav A NarayanJanssen Research and Development, LLC, Raritan, New Jersey, USA.

Funding

Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative - SupplementU01AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE RES &EDUC · PI WEINER, MICHAEL W · 2004 to 2015
$121.0M
NIA NIH HHS U01 AG024904
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe objective of this analysis was to develop a nonlinear disease progression model, using an expanded set of covariates that captures the longitudinal Clinical Dementia Rating Scale-Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB) scores. These were derived from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative ADNI-1 study, of 301 Alzheimer's disease and mild cognitive impairment patients who were followed for 2-3 years.

methodsThe model describes progression rate and baseline disease score as a function of covariates. The covariates that were tested fell into five groups: a) hippocampal volume; b) serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers; c) demographics and apolipoprotein Epsilon 4 (ApoE4) allele status; d) baseline cognitive tests; and e) disease state and comedications.

resultsCovariates associated with baseline disease severity were disease state, hippocampal volume, and comedication use. Disease progression rate was influenced by baseline CSF biomarkers, Trail-Making Test part A score, delayed logical memory test score, and current level of impairment as measured by CDR-SB. The rate of disease progression was dependent on disease severity, with intermediate scores around the inflection point score of 10 exhibiting high disease progression rate. The CDR-SB disease progression rate in a typical patient, with late mild cognitive impairment and mild Alzheimer's disease, was estimated to be approximately 0.5 and 1.4 points/year, respectively.

conclusionsIn conclusion, this model describes disease progression in terms of CDR-SB changes in patients and its dependency on novel covariates. The CSF biomarkers included in the model discriminate mild cognitive impairment subjects as progressors and nonprogressors. Therefore, the model may be utilized for optimizing study designs, through patient population enrichment and clinical trial simulations.

Indexed as

beta-regressionCSF Aβ1–42hippocampal volumeNONMEM®trial enrichment

Identifiers

PMID24926196
PMCPMC4049432

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.