Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24922483›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2014

Model selection in systems biology depends on experimental design.

Daniel Silk, Paul D W Kirk, Chris P Barnes, Tina Toni, Michael P H Stumpf

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Boolean modelling as a logic-based dynamic approach in systems medicine.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2022
    Review
  8. Cancer Explant Models.Current topics in microbiology and immunology · 2021
    Article
  9. Optimal experimental design for mathematical models of haematopoiesis.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Symmetry structures in dynamic models of biochemical systems.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2020
    Article
  13. Computational models of melanoma.Theoretical biology & medical modelling · 2020
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. How to deal with parameters for whole-cell modelling.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2017
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Daniel SilkCentre for Integrative Systems Biology at Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Paul D W KirkCentre for Integrative Systems Biology at Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Chris P BarnesCentre for Integrative Systems Biology at Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Tina ToniCentre for Integrative Systems Biology at Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Michael P H StumpfCentre for Integrative Systems Biology at Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/G007934/1Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/K003909/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Experimental design attempts to maximise the information available for modelling tasks. An optimal experiment allows the inferred models or parameters to be chosen with the highest expected degree of confidence. If the true system is faithfully reproduced by one of the models, the merit of this approach is clear - we simply wish to identify it and the true parameters with the most certainty. However, in the more realistic situation where all models are incorrect or incomplete, the interpretation of model selection outcomes and the role of experimental design needs to be examined more carefully. Using a novel experimental design and model selection framework for stochastic state-space models, we perform high-throughput in-silico analyses on families of gene regulatory cascade models, to show that the selected model can depend on the experiment performed. We observe that experimental design thus makes confidence a criterion for model choice, but that this does not necessarily correlate with a model's predictive power or correctness. Finally, in the special case of linear ordinary differential equation (ODE) models, we explore how wrong a model has to be before it influences the conclusions of a model selection analysis.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalSystems BiologyComputational BiologyComputer SimulationMathematical ConceptsMonte Carlo MethodSignal Transduction

Identifiers

PMID24922483
PMCPMC4055659

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.