Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24913781›Full record

ArticleCancer causes & control : CCC2014

Serum transforming growth factor-β1 and risk of pancreatic cancer in three prospective cohort studies.

Eric J Jacobs, Christina C Newton, Debra T Silverman, Leticia M Nogueira, Demetrius Albanes, Satu Männistö, Michael Pollak, Rachael Z Stolzenberg-Solomon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer causes & control : CCC, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Role of Circulating Protein and Metabolite Biomarkers in the Development of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC): A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Eric J JacobsEpidemiology Research Program, American Cancer Society, National Home Office, 250 Williams Street, Atlanta, GA, 30303-1002, USA, ejacobs@cancer.org.
Christina C Newton
Debra T Silverman
Leticia M Nogueira
Demetrius Albanes
Satu Männistö
Michael Pollak
Rachael Z Stolzenberg-Solomon
American Cancer Society · USNational Cancer Institute · USNational Institutes of Health · USFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare · FIMcGill University · CA

Funding

Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention (ATBC) StudyZIACP010195 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI ALBANES, DEMETRIUS · 2009 to 2025
$22.5M
Studies of Alpha-tocopherol and Beta-Carotene in FinlandZ01CP010195 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI ALBANES, DEMETRIUS · 2007 to 2008
$3.9M
Biochemical, molecular, and dietary studies for pancreatic cancer within PLCOZIACP010202 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI STOLZENBERG-SOLOMON, RACHAEL · 2010 to 2025
$3.4M
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 CP010195Intramural NIH HHS ZIA CP010195Intramural NIH HHS ZIA CP010202
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeClinically evident chronic pancreatitis is a strong risk factor for pancreatic cancer. A small Japanese cohort study previously reported that pre-diagnostic serum transforming growth factor-β1 (TGF-β1) concentration, a potential marker of subclinical pancreatic inflammation, was associated with higher risk of pancreatic cancer. We further explored this association in a larger prospective study.

methodsSerum TGF-β1 concentrations were measured in pre-diagnostic samples from 729 pancreatic cancer cases and 907 matched controls from a cohort of Finnish male smokers (the Alpa-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene (ATBC) Cancer Prevention Study) and two cohorts of US men and women, the Cancer Prevention Study-II and the Prostate Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial. Multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were estimated using conditional logistic regression.

resultsOverall, serum TGF-β1 concentration was not associated with a clear increase in pancreatic cancer risk (OR 1.36, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.98-1.88 for highest vs. lowest quintile, p trend = 0.20). However, this association differed significantly by follow-up time (p = 0.02). Serum TGF-β1 concentration was not associated with risk during the first 10 years of follow-up, but was associated with higher risk during follow-up after 10 years (OR 2.13, 95 % CI 1.23-3.68 for highest vs. lowest quintile, p trend = 0.001). During follow-up after 10 years, serum TGF-β1 was associated with higher risk only in the ATBC cohort, although most subjects were from ATBC during this time period and statistical evidence for heterogeneity across cohorts was limited (p = 0.14).

conclusionsThese results suggest that high serum TGF-β1 may be associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer although a long follow-up period may be needed to observe this association.

Indexed as

AgedBiomarkersCase-Control StudiesCohort StudiesFemaleFinlandHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedOdds RatioPancreatic NeoplasmsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSmokingTransforming Growth Factor beta1BiomarkersTransforming Growth Factor beta1

Identifiers

PMID24913781
PMCPMC5920694
OpenAlexW2077477144

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.