Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24911650›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

Does improved survival lead to a more fragile population: time trends in second and third hospital admissions among men and women above the age of 60 in Sweden.

Korinna Karampampa, Tomas Andersson, Sven Drefahl, Anders Ahlbom, Karin Modig

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03130673 (Hip Fracture Epidemiology at Hospital Regional Rafael Hernandez. September 2014 to March 2015.), which is not on this map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
5.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03130673 completednot on this map

Hip Fracture Epidemiology at Hospital Regional Rafael Hernandez. September 2014 to March 2015.

TypeobservationalSponsorHospital del Niño "Dr. José Renán Esquivel"Ran2014 to 2017Enrolled104ConditionsHip Fractures
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Rethinking morbidity compression.European journal of epidemiology · 2020
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Recent hip fracture trends in Sweden and Denmark with age-period-cohort effects.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2017
    Article
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Korinna KarampampaInstitute of Environmental Medicine, Unit of Epidemiology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Tomas AnderssonInstitute of Environmental Medicine, Unit of Epidemiology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Centre for Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Stockholm County Council, Stockholm, Sweden.
Sven DrefahlInstitute of Environmental Medicine, Unit of Epidemiology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Sociology, Demography Unit, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Anders AhlbomInstitute of Environmental Medicine, Unit of Epidemiology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Karin ModigInstitute of Environmental Medicine, Unit of Epidemiology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Karolinska Institutet · SEStockholm County Council · SEStockholm University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLife expectancy and time to first hospitalization have been prolonged, indicating that people live longer without needing hospital care. Life expectancy increased partially due to improved survival from severe diseases, which, however, could lead to a more fragile population. If so, time to a subsequent hospitalization could decrease. Alternatively, the overall trend of improved health could continue after the first hospitalization, prolonging also the time to subsequent hospitalizations. This study analyzes trends in subsequent hospitalizations among Swedish men and women above the age of 60, relating them to first hospitalization. It also looks at trends in the proportion of never hospitalized.

methodsIndividuals were followed in national registers for hospital admissions and deaths between 1972 and 2010. The proportion of never hospitalized individuals at given ages and time points, and the annual change in the risks of first and subsequent hospitalizations, were calculated.

findingsAn increase in the proportion of never hospitalized was seen over time. The risks of first as well as subsequent hospitalizations were reduced by almost 10% per decade for both men and women. Improvements were observed mainly for individuals below the ages of 90 and up to the year 2000.

conclusionsThe reduction in annual risk of both first and subsequent hospitalizations up to 90 years of age speaks in favor of a postponement of the overall morbidity among the elderly and provides no support for the hypothesis that the population becomes more fragile due to increased survival from severe diseases.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleHospitalizationHumansLife ExpectancyMaleRiskSweden

Identifiers

PMID24911650
PMCPMC4049743
OpenAlexW2164324814

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.