ArticlePloS one2014
The dynamics of democracy, development and cultural values.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 11 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- The survival of survival auditions: The effects of cultural memes in the Korean TV broadcasting industry.PloS one · 2025Article
- Individuals' Financial Satisfaction and National Priority: A Global Perspective.Social indicators research · 2022Article
- Cultural prerequisites of socioeconomic development.Royal Society open science · 2020Article
- Sequential Requisites Analysis: A New Method for Analyzing Sequential Relationships in Ordinal Data.Social science quarterly · 2019Article
- Analyzing gender inequality through large-scale Facebook advertising data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2018Article
- Religious change preceded economic change in the 20th century.Science advances · 2018Article
- Choice modelling with Gaussian processes in the social sciences: A case study of neighbourhood choice in Stockholm.PloS one · 2018Article
- Using Bayesian dynamical systems, model averaging and neural networks to determine interactions between socio-economic indicators.PloS one · 2018Article
- Women's rights in democratic transitions: A global sequence analysis, 1900-2012.European journal of political research · 2017Article
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Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Over the past decades many countries have experienced rapid changes in their economies, their democratic institutions and the values of their citizens. Comprehensive data measuring these changes across very different countries has recently become openly available. Between country similarities suggest common underlying dynamics in how countries develop in terms of economy, democracy and cultural values. We apply a novel Bayesian dynamical systems approach to identify the model which best captures the complex, mainly non-linear dynamics that underlie these changes. We show that the level of Human Development Index (HDI) in a country drives first democracy and then higher emancipation of citizens. This change occurs once the countries pass a certain threshold in HDI. The data also suggests that there is a limit to the growth of wealth, set by higher emancipation. Having reached a high level of democracy and emancipation, societies tend towards equilibrium that does not support further economic growth. Our findings give strong empirical evidence against a popular political science theory, known as the Human Development Sequence. Contrary to this theory, we find that implementation of human-rights and democratisation precede increases in emancipative values.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.