Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24898426›Full record

Trial reportJournal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research2014

Prediction of incident hip fracture with the estimated femoral strength by finite element analysis of DXA Scans in the study of osteoporotic fractures.

Lang Yang, Lisa Palermo, Dennis M Black, Richard Eastell

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Future Osteoporotic Fracture Risk Related to Lumbar Vertebral Trabecular Attenuation Measured at Routine Body CT.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2018
    Trial
  2. HR-pQCT skeletal phenotype clustering associated with muscle function in older men and women: The Study of Muscle, Mobility and Aging (SOMMA).Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
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  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Perspectives on the non-invasive evaluation of femoral strength in the assessment of hip fracture risk.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Risk Assessment of Hip Fracture Based on Machine Learning.Applied bionics and biomechanics · 2020
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Association of incident hip fracture with the estimated femoral strength by finite element analysis of DXA scans in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2018
    Article
  20. Automated DXA-based finite element analysis for hip fracture risk stratification: a cross-sectional study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lang YangAcademic Unit of Bone Metabolism, Mellanby Centre for Bone Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK; INSIGNEO Institute for in silico Medicine, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Lisa Palermo
Dennis M Black
Richard Eastell

Funding

Study of Osteoporotic FracturesR01AG005407 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN FRANCISCO · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON, YAFFE, KRISTINE · 1986 to 2016
$23.2M
Study of Osteoporotic FracturesR01AG005394 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI ENSRUD, KRISTINE · 1986 to 2015
$6.1M
STUDY OF OSTEOPOROTIC FRACTURES: VERTEBRAL FRACTURESR01AR035583 · NIAMS · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI HILLIER, TERESA A · 1986 to 2005
$3.2M
Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF)R01AG027574 · NIA · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI HILLIER, TERESA A · 2006 to 2015
$2.6M
Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF)-Pittsburgh ClinicR01AG027576 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CAULEY, JANE ANN · 2006 to 2015
$2.4M
Study of Osteoporotic FracturesR01AR035582 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CAULEY, JANE · 1986 to 2005
$2.4M
Study of Osteoporotic FracturesR01AR035584 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI HOCHBERG, MARC C. · 1986 to 2005
$2.1M
Medical Research Council G0601272Medical Research Council MR/K006312/1NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR035582NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR035583NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR035584NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR35582NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR35583NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR35584NIA NIH HHS R01 AG005394NIA NIH HHS R01 AG005407NIA NIH HHS R01 AG027574NIA NIH HHS R01 AG027576Versus Arthritis 19669
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A bone fractures only when loaded beyond its strength. The purpose of this study was to determine the association of femoral strength, as estimated by finite element (FE) analysis of dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans, with incident hip fracture in comparison to hip bone mineral density (BMD), Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX), and hip structure analysis (HSA) variables. This prospective case-cohort study included a random sample of 1941 women and 668 incident hip fracture cases (295 in the random sample) during a mean ± SD follow-up of 12.8 ± 5.7 years from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (n = 7860 community-dwelling women ≥67 years of age). We analyzed the baseline DXA scans (Hologic 1000) of the hip using a validated plane-stress, linear-elastic finite element (FE) model of the proximal femur and estimated the femoral strength during a simulated sideways fall. Cox regression accounting for the case-cohort design assessed the association of estimated femoral strength with hip fracture. The age-body mass index (BMI)-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) per SD decrease for estimated strength (2.21; 95% CI, 1.95-2.50) was greater than that for total hip (TH) BMD (1.86; 95% CI, 1.67-2.08; p < 0.05), FN BMD (2.04; 95% CI, 1.79-2.32; p > 0.05), FRAX scores (range, 1.32-1.68; p < 0.0005), and many HSA variables (range, 1.13-2.43; p < 0.005), and the association was still significant (p < 0.05) after further adjustment for hip BMD or FRAX scores. The association of estimated strength with incident hip fracture was strong (Harrell's C index 0.770), significantly better than TH BMD (0.759; p < 0.05) and FRAX scores (0.711-0.743; p < 0.0001), but not FN BMD (0.762; p > 0.05). Similar findings were obtained for intracapsular and extracapsular fractures. In conclusion, the estimated femoral strength from FE analysis of DXA scans is an independent predictor and performs at least as well as FN BMD in predicting incident hip fracture in postmenopausal women.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexOsteoporosis, PostmenopausalAbsorptiometry, PhotonAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleFemurFinite Element AnalysisFollow-Up StudiesHip FracturesHumansIncidenceProspective StudiesDXAFINITE ELEMENT ANALYSISHIP FRACTUREOSTEOPOROSIS

Identifiers

PMID24898426
PMCPMC4388249

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.