Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24894393›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2014

Oesophageal varices, schistosomiasis, and mortality among patients admitted with haematemesis in Mwanza, Tanzania: a prospective cohort study.

Awilly A Chofle, Hyasinta Jaka, Mheta Koy, Luke R Smart, Rodrick Kabangila, Fiona M Ewings, Humphrey D Mazigo, Warren D Johnson, Daniel W Fitzgerald, Robert N Peck and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Establishing an Endoscopy Unit for Management ofEndoscopy international open · 2026
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  13. Morbidity and Mortality Due toTropical medicine and infectious disease · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Awilly A ChofleDepartment of Internal Medicine, Bugando Medical Centre, Box 1370, Mwanza, Tanzania. awilchofle12@gmail.com.
Hyasinta Jaka
Mheta Koy
Luke R Smart
Rodrick Kabangila
Fiona M Ewings
Humphrey D Mazigo
Warren D Johnson
Daniel W Fitzgerald
Robert N Peck
Jennifer A Downs
Bugando Medical Centre · TZCatholic University of Health and Allied Sciences · TZCornell University · USLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

Vanderbilt-Emory-Cornell-Duke Consortium for Global Health Fellows (VECDor)R25TW009337 · FIC · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI HEIMBURGER, DOUGLAS CORBETT, VERMUND, STEN H. · 2012 to 2016
$6.3M
FIC NIH HHS R25 TW009337FIC NIH HHS TW00018
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUpper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common cause of hospital admissions worldwide. Aetiologies vary by sociodemographics and geography. Retrospective studies of endoscopies in much of Africa have documented oesophageal varices as a leading cause of UGIB. Prospective studies describing outcomes and associations with clinical factors are lacking.

methodsWe conducted a prospective cohort study at a referral hospital in Mwanza, Tanzania where schistosomiasis is endemic. Adults admitted with haematemesis underwent laboratory workup, schistosomiasis antigen testing and elective endoscopy, and were followed for two months for death or re-bleeding. We assessed predictors of endoscopic findings using logistic regression models, and determined prediction rules that maximised sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV).

resultsOf 124 enrolled patients, 13 died within two months (10%); active schistosomiasis prevalence was 48%. 64/91(70%) patients had oesophageal varices. We found strong associations between varices and numerous demographic or clinical findings, permitting construction of simple, high-fidelity prediction rules for oesophageal varices applicable even in rural settings. Portal vein diameter ≥ 13 mm or water sourced from the lake yielded sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV >90% for oesophageal varices; presence of splenomegaly or water sourced from the lake maintained sensitivity and PPV >90%.

conclusionsOur results guide identification of patients, via ultrasound and clinical examination, likely to have varices for whom referral for endoscopy may be life-saving. Furthermore, they support empiric anti-schistosome treatment for patients with UGIB in schistosome-endemic regions. These interventions have potential to reduce UGIB-related morbidity and mortality in Africa.

Indexed as

AdultCohort StudiesEsophageal and Gastric VaricesFemaleGastrointestinal HemorrhageHospitalizationHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceProspective StudiesSchistosomiasisTanzania

Identifiers

PMID24894393
PMCPMC4065539
OpenAlexW2134479158

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.