Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24875841›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Respiratory medicine2014

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in US Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older: incidence, prevalence, and survival, 2001-11.

Ganesh Raghu, Shih-Yin Chen, Wei-Shi Yeh, Brad Maroni, Qian Li, Yuan-Chi Lee, Harold R Collard

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Respiratory medicine, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT06325696 (Phase IIa Investigation of H01 in Adults With Interstitial Lung Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 364 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
364citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
29.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06325696 phase2recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Phase IIa Investigation of H01 in Adults With Interstitial Lung Disease (The SOLIS Study)

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS)Ran2025 to 2027Enrolled37ConditionsInterstitial Lung Disease, Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, Lung Diseases, InterstitialArmshymecromone
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

364 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 700 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Bexotegrast Shows Dose-Dependent Integrin αAnnals of the American Thoracic Society · 2025
    Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Bexotegrast in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: The INTEGRIS-IPF Clinical Trial.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2024
    Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Trial
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Murine models of pulmonary fibrosis: mechanisms, limitations and translational insights.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

304 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Ganesh RaghuUniversity of Washington Medical Center, Seattle, WA, USA. Electronic address: graghu@uw.edu.
Shih-Yin ChenBiogen Idec, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Wei-Shi YehBiogen Idec, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Brad MaroniBiogen Idec, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Qian LiEvidera, Lexington, MA, USA.
Yuan-Chi LeeEvidera, Lexington, MA, USA.
Harold R CollardUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Biogen (United States) · USIthaka Harbors · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Washington Medical Center · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPublished data for the epidemiology of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in the USA are scarce. We sought to estimate the incidence, prevalence, and mortality risk of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis among US Medicare beneficiaries.

methodsWe used administrative claims from a 5% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries (aged 65 years and older) from the years 2000-11 as a data source. Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis was defined by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes. We estimated annual incidence and cumulative prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, median survival time of patients, and potential risk factors for diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and death between 2001 and 2011. We also estimated incidence and prevalence using more restrictive algorithms for diagnosis.

findingsThe annual incidence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in the Medicare population remained stable between 2001 and 2011, with an overall estimate of 93.7 cases per 100000 person-years (95% CI 91.9-95.4) across the study period. The annual cumulative prevalence increased steadily from 202.2 cases per 100000 people in 2001 to 494.5 cases per 100000 people in 2011. Among newly diagnosed patients with Medicare (mean age 79.4 years [SD 7.2], 54% female, 91% white), the median survival time was 3.8 years (95% CI 3.5-3.8). Older age and male sex were associated with a higher incidence of disease and shorter survival time after diagnosis. Mortality risk was lower in patients diagnosed in more recent years (median survival time 3.3 years [95% CI 3.0-3.8] in 2001 vs 4.0 years [3.8-4.5] in 2007).

interpretationThe incidence and prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in people aged 65 years and older in the USA are substantially higher than previously reported, and prevalence is increasing annually, even in the subgroups based on more restrictive algorithms for diagnosis. Patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis aged 65 years and older were living longer in 2011 than they were 10 years before, which could partly account for the steady increase in prevalence.

fundingBiogen Idec.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleHumansIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisIncidenceMaleMedicarePrevalenceSex FactorsSurvival RateUnited States

Identifiers

PMID24875841
OpenAlexW2098530232

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.