Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24874203›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of psychiatry2014

Longitudinal trajectories and associated baseline predictors in youths with bipolar spectrum disorders.

Boris Birmaher, Mary Kay Gill, David A Axelson, Benjamin I Goldstein, Tina R Goldstein, Haifeng Yu, Fangzi Liao, Satish Iyengar, Rasim S Diler, Michael Strober and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of psychiatry, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  7. Classifying Mood Symptom Trajectories in Adolescents With Bipolar Disorder.Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry · 2020
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  10. Risk Factors Associated with Longitudinal Trajectories of Mania Symptoms in Youth.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Boris Birmaher
Mary Kay Gill
David A Axelson
Benjamin I Goldstein
Tina R Goldstein
Haifeng Yu
Fangzi Liao
Satish Iyengar
Rasim S Diler
Michael Strober
Heather Hower
Shirley Yen
Jeffrey Hunt
John A Merranko
Neal D Ryan
Martin B Keller

Funding

Course and Outcome of Bipolar Disorder in Youth - SupplementR01MH059929 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BIRMAHER, BORIS, PHILLIPS, MARY LOUISE · 2000 to 2021
$15.9M
Course and Outcome for Bipolar Disorder in Youth (COBY)R01MH059691 · NIMH · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI KELLER, MARTIN B, YEN, SHIRLEY · 2000 to 2015
$7.9M
2/2-Predicting Adult Outcomes in Bipolar Youth (PROBY)R01MH112543 · NIMH · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI YEN, SHIRLEY · 2018 to 2022
$1.2M
NIMH NIH HHS MH059929NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH059691NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH059929NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH112543
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe authors sought to identify and evaluate longitudinal mood trajectories and associated baseline predictors in youths with bipolar disorder.

methodA total of 367 outpatient youths (mean age, 12.6 years) with bipolar disorder with at least 4 years of follow-up were included. After intake, participants were interviewed on average 10 times (SD=3.2) over a mean of 93 months (SD=8.3). Youths and parents were interviewed for psychopathology, functioning, treatment, and familial psychopathology and functioning.

resultsLatent class growth analysis showed four different longitudinal mood trajectories: "predominantly euthymic" (24.0%), "moderately euthymic" (34.6%), "ill with improving course" (19.1%), and "predominantly ill" (22.3%). Within each class, youths were euthymic on average 84.4%, 47.3%, 42.8%, and 11.5% of the follow-up time, respectively. Multivariate analyses showed that better course was associated with higher age at onset of mood symptoms, less lifetime family history of bipolar disorder and substance abuse, and less history at baseline of severe depression, manic symptoms, suicidality, subsyndromal mood episodes, and sexual abuse. Most of these factors were more noticeable in the "predominantly euthymic" class. The effects of age at onset were attenuated in youths with lower socioeconomic status, and the effects of depression severity were absent in those with the highest socioeconomic status.

conclusionsA substantial proportion of youths with bipolar disorder, especially those with adolescent onset and the above-noted factors, appear to be euthymic over extended periods. Nonetheless, continued syndromal and subsyndromal mood symptoms in all four classes underscore the need to optimize treatment.

Indexed as

AffectBehavioral SymptomsBipolar DisorderSuicide PreventionAdolescentAdolescent BehaviorAge of OnsetChildFemaleHospitalizationHumansLongitudinal StudiesMalePrognosisPsychiatric Status Rating ScalesPsychopathologyPsychotropic Drugs

Identifiers

PMID24874203
PMCPMC4164021

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.