Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24872130›Full record

ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2014

Evaluation of rapid progressors in HIV infection as an extreme phenotype.

Ashley D Olson, Marguerite Guiguet, Robert Zangerle, John Gill, Santiago Perez-Hoyos, Sara Lodi, Jade Ghosn, Maria Dorrucci, Anne Johnson, Mette Sannes and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  4. The CD8Microbiology and molecular biology reviews : MMBR · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Ashley D Olson*Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit, University College London, London, United Kingdom; †INSERM U943, Paris, France; ‡UPMC, Paris, France; §Innsbruck Medical University, Innsbruck, Austria; ‖University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada; ¶Vall d'Hebrón Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; #Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; **Service de Médecine Interne et Maladies Infectieuses, CHU Bicêtre, Paris, France; ††Department of Infectious, Parasitic and Immune-mediated Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy; ‡‡Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, University College London, London, United Kingdom; §§Ulleval University Hospital, Oslo, Norway; and ‖‖Hospital Universitário Ramón y Cajal, Madrid, Spain.
Marguerite Guiguet
Robert Zangerle
John Gill
Santiago Perez-Hoyos
Sara Lodi
Jade Ghosn
Maria Dorrucci
Anne Johnson
Mette Sannes
Santiago Moreno
Kholoud Porter
for CASCADE Collaboration in EuroCoord

Funding

Medical Research Council G0800814Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/15
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

designRapid CD4 cell loss represents an HIV phenotype used to identify causal variants of accelerated disease progression. The optimal rate and threshold for identifying this extreme phenotype in recently infected individuals is unclear.

methodsUsing a cohort of patients with known dates of HIV-1 seroconversion (SC), CASCADE (Concerted Action on SeroConversion on AIDS and Death in Europe), we identified proportions experiencing nadir CD4 cell levels within 1 year of SC, and assessed their mean AIDS-free survival time at 10-year follow-up and hazard of AIDS/death, compared with those whose CD4 remained >500 cells per cubic millimeter. Follow-up was censored at December 31, 1996 to avoid bias due to combination antiretroviral therapy initiation.

resultsOf 4876 individuals, 2.8%, 7.3%, and 24.9% experienced ≥1 CD4 <100, 200, and 350 cells per cubic millimeter, respectively, within 1 year of SC. Minimum CD4 levels of 30, 166, 231, and 506 cells per cubic millimeter were experienced during this period by 1%, 5%, 10%, and 50% of individuals, respectively. Mean (95% confidence interval) AIDS-free survival at 10 years follow-up was 2.9 (2.3 to 3.6), 5.5 (5.0 to 6.1), 6.7 (6.5 to 7.0), 7.4 (7.2 to 7.6), and 8.1 (7.9 to 8.3), for those with minimum counts ≤100, 100-200, 200-350, 350-500, >500 cells per cubic millimeter, respectively. Using counts of >500 cells per cubic millimeter as reference, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of AIDS/death were 15.0 (11.9 to 18.9), 3.6 (2.9 to 4.5), 2.1 (1.8 to 2.4), and 1.5 (1.3 to 1.7), respectively. The hazard ratio increased to 37.5 (26.5 to 53.1) when a minimum CD4 count <100 was confirmed within 1 year of SC.

conclusionAt least 1 CD4 ≤100 cells per cubic millimeter within the first year of SC identifies a rare group of individuals at high risk of disease progression and could form the basis for defining the rapid progressor phenotype.

Indexed as

HIV-1AdultCD4 Lymphocyte CountCD4-Positive T-LymphocytesCohort StudiesConfidence IntervalsDisease ProgressionEuropeFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHIV InfectionsHumansMaleProportional Hazards Models

Identifiers

PMID24872130
PMCPMC4134321

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.