Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24850916›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2014

Analyses of evolutionary dynamics in viruses are hindered by a time-dependent bias in rate estimates.

Sebastián Duchêne, Edward C Holmes, Simon Y W Ho

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 116 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
116citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

116 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Recovery of an 18bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Phylodynamics beyond neutrality: the impact of incomplete purifying selection on viral phylogenies and inference.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

56 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Sebastián DuchêneSchool of Biological Sciences, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales 2006, Australia sebastian.duchene@sydney.edu.au.
Edward C HolmesSchool of Biological Sciences, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales 2006, Australia Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales 2006, Australia.
Simon Y W HoSchool of Biological Sciences, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales 2006, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Time-scales of viral evolution and emergence have been studied widely, but are often poorly understood. Molecular analyses of viral evolutionary time-scales generally rely on estimates of rates of nucleotide substitution, which vary by several orders of magnitude depending on the timeframe of measurement. We analysed data from all major groups of viruses and found a strong negative relationship between estimates of nucleotide substitution rate and evolutionary timescale. Strikingly, this relationship was upheld both within and among diverse groups of viruses. A detailed case study of primate lentiviruses revealed that the combined effects of sequence saturation and purifying selection can explain this time-dependent pattern of rate variation. Therefore, our analyses show that studies of evolutionary time-scales in viruses require a reconsideration of substitution rates as a dynamic, rather than as a static, feature of molecular evolution. Improved modelling of viral evolutionary rates has the potential to change our understanding of virus origins.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularModels, GeneticMolecular Sequence DataSequence Analysis, DNAVirusesevolutionary ratesmolecular clockphylogeneticsvirus evolution

Identifiers

PMID24850916
PMCPMC4046420

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.