Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24843135›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2014

Inferring fitness landscapes by regression produces biased estimates of epistasis.

Jakub Otwinowski, Joshua B Plotkin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.

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44citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Global epistasis in ecosystems arises from resource constraints.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
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  12. The simplicity of protein sequence-function relationships.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Interpretable modeling of genotype-phenotype landscapes with state-of-the-art predictive power.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  17. On the sparsity of fitness functions and implications for learning.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Jakub OtwinowskiDepartment of Biology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.
Joshua B PlotkinDepartment of Biology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104 jplotkin@sas.upenn.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The genotype-fitness map plays a fundamental role in shaping the dynamics of evolution. However, it is difficult to directly measure a fitness landscape in practice, because the number of possible genotypes is astronomical. One approach is to sample as many genotypes as possible, measure their fitnesses, and fit a statistical model of the landscape that includes additive and pairwise interactive effects between loci. Here, we elucidate the pitfalls of using such regressions by studying artificial but mathematically convenient fitness landscapes. We identify two sources of bias inherent in these regression procedures, each of which tends to underestimate high fitnesses and overestimate low fitnesses. We characterize these biases for random sampling of genotypes as well as samples drawn from a population under selection in the Wright-Fisher model of evolutionary dynamics. We show that common measures of epistasis, such as the number of monotonically increasing paths between ancestral and derived genotypes, the prevalence of sign epistasis, and the number of local fitness maxima, are distorted in the inferred landscape. As a result, the inferred landscape will provide systematically biased predictions for the dynamics of adaptation. We identify the same biases in a computational RNA-folding landscape as well as regulatory sequence binding data treated with the same fitting procedure. Finally, we present a method to ameliorate these biases in some cases.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularGenotypeModels, GeneticDrug ResistanceEpistasis, GeneticGenetic FitnessRegression AnalysisRNA FoldingSelection, Geneticexperimental evolutionmolecular evolutionpenalized regression

Identifiers

PMID24843135
PMCPMC4050575

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.