Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24839400›Full record

ArticleCost effectiveness and resource allocation : C/E2014

Estimating the cost-effectiveness of nutrition supplementation for malnourished, HIV-infected adults starting antiretroviral therapy in a resource-constrained setting.

John R Koethe, Elliot Marseille, Mark J Giganti, Benjamin H Chi, Douglas Heimburger, Jeffrey S Stringer

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cost effectiveness and resource allocation : C/E, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

John R KoetheCentre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Plot 5032 Great North Road, Lusaka, Zambia ; Division of Infectious Diseases, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, 215 Light Hall, Nashville, TN 37232, USA.
Elliot MarseilleHealth Strategies International, 555 59th Street, Oakland, CA 94609, USA.
Mark J GigantiCentre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Plot 5032 Great North Road, Lusaka, Zambia ; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, 215 Light Hall, Nashville, TN 37232, USA.
Benjamin H ChiCentre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Plot 5032 Great North Road, Lusaka, Zambia ; Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, UNC Global Women's Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Medicine, 3009 Old Clinic Building CB #7570, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-7570, USA.
Douglas HeimburgerCentre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Plot 5032 Great North Road, Lusaka, Zambia ; Vanderbilt Institute for Global Health, 2525 West End Ave., Nashville, TN 37203, USA.
Jeffrey S StringerCentre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Plot 5032 Great North Road, Lusaka, Zambia ; Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, UNC Global Women's Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Medicine, 3009 Old Clinic Building CB #7570, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-7570, USA.
Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia · ZMHealth Strat (Kenya) · KE

Funding

The Role of Obesity and Adipocytes in Immune Activation on Antiretroviral TherapyK23AI100700 · NIAID · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI KOETHE, JOHN · 2012 to 2016
$600k
NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI100700
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLow body mass index (BMI) individuals starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV infection in sub-Saharan Africa have high rates of death and loss to follow-up in the first 6 months of treatment. Nutritional supplementation may improve health outcomes in this population, but the anticipated benefit of any intervention should be commensurate with the cost given resource limitations and the need to expand access to ART in the region.

methodsWe used Markov models incorporating historical data and program-wide estimates of treatment costs and health benefits from the Zambian national ART program to estimate the improvements in 6-month survival and program retention among malnourished adults necessary for a combined nutrition support and ART treatment program to maintain cost-effectiveness parity with ART treatment alone. Patients were stratified according to World Health Organization criteria for severe (BMI <16.0 kg/m(2)), moderate (16.00-16.99 kg/m(2)), and mild (17.00-18.49 kg/m(2)) malnutrition categories.

results19,247 patients contributed data between May 2004 and October 2010. Quarterly survival and retention were lowest in the BMI <16.0 kg/m(2) category compared to higher BMI levels, and there was less variation in both measures across BMI strata after 180 days. ART treatment was estimated to cost $556 per year and averted 7.3 disability-adjusted life years. To maintain cost-effectiveness parity with ART alone, a supplement needed to cost $10.99 per quarter and confer a 20% reduction in both 6-month mortality and loss to follow-up among BMI <16.0 kg/m(2) patients. Among BMI 17.00-18.49 kg/m(2) patients, supplement costs accompanying a 20% reduction in mortality and loss to follow-up could not exceed $5.18 per quarter. In sensitivity analyses, the maximum permitted supplement cost increased if the ART program cost rose, and fell if patients classified as lost to follow-up at 6 months subsequently returned to care.

conclusionsLow BMI adults starting ART in sub-Saharan Africa are at high risk of early mortality and loss to follow-up. The expense of providing nutrition supplementation would require only modest improvements in survival and program retention to be cost-effective for the most severely malnourished individuals starting ART, but interventions are unlikely to be cost-effective among those in higher BMI strata.

Indexed as

AfricaAntiretroviral therapyHIVMalnutritionNutritionZambia

Identifiers

PMID24839400
PMCPMC4024113
OpenAlexW2097404715

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.