Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24807866›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Oncology2014

Addressing overdiagnosis and overtreatment in cancer: a prescription for change.

Laura J Esserman, Ian M Thompson, Brian Reid, Peter Nelson, David F Ransohoff, H Gilbert Welch, Shelley Hwang, Donald A Berry, Kenneth W Kinzler, William C Black and 3 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Oncology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02620852 (Enabling a Paradigm Shift), which is not on this map. Cited by 215 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
215citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
28.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02620852 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2016, after this paper: background citation

Enabling a Paradigm Shift: A Preference-Tolerant RCT of Personalized vs. Annual Screening for Breast Cancer (Wisdom Study)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of California, San FranciscoRan2016 to 2026Enrolled100,000ConditionsBreast Cancer Screening, Breast Carcinoma in Situ, Breast CancerArmsComplete a health questionnaire, Provide a saliva sample for genetic testing, Screening advice based on a comprehensive risk assessment, Screening advice based on a basic risk assessment
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

215 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 496 citations in OpenAlex.

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  20. Addressing the overuse-underuse paradox in healthcare.Medicine, health care, and philosophy · 2025
    Article

155 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 12 institutions in 1 country.

Laura J EssermanUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. Electronic address: laura.esserman@ucsfmedctr.org.
Ian M ThompsonUniversity of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, USA.
Brian ReidFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
Peter NelsonFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
David F RansohoffUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
H Gilbert WelchDartmouth College, Hanover, NH, USA.
Shelley HwangDuke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Donald A BerryUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Kenneth W KinzlerJohns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
William C BlackDartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, NH, USA.
Mina BissellLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Howard ParnesDivision of Prostate and Urologic Cancer Research Group, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Sudhir SrivastavaCancer Biomarkers Research Group, Division of Cancer Prevention, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Fred Hutch Cancer Center · USDartmouth College · USDartmouth–Hitchcock Medical Center · USDuke University · USJohns Hopkins University · USLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory · USNational Cancer Institute · USNational Institutes of Health · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio · USThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · US

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Fabien Delerue · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Translational Research Central ServicesP30CA006973 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI WILLIAM George NELSON · 1985 to 2026
$208.6M
TRANSCRIPTOME AND PROTEOME STRATIFICATION OF PROSTATE ADENOCARCINOMA PHENOTYPESP50CA097186 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI PETER S NELSON · 2002 to 2026
$58.1M
PHYLOGENIES of Barrett's Esophagus LineagesP01CA091955 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI GRADY, WILLIAM MALLORY · 2002 to 2019
$35.9M
SAN ANTONIO CENTER OF BIOMARKERS OF RISK FOR PROSTATE CAU01CA086402 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI LEACH, ROBIN JEAN, THOMPSON, IAN M. · 2000 to 2018
$33.1M
NCI NIH HHS CA U01-086402NCI NIH HHS P01 CA091955NCI NIH HHS P30 CA006973NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P50 CA097186NCI NIH HHS P50CA097186NCI NIH HHS U01 CA086402
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A vast range of disorders--from indolent to fast-growing lesions--are labelled as cancer. Therefore, we believe that several changes should be made to the approach to cancer screening and care, such as use of new terminology for indolent and precancerous disorders. We propose the term indolent lesion of epithelial origin, or IDLE, for those lesions (currently labelled as cancers) and their precursors that are unlikely to cause harm if they are left untreated. Furthermore, precursors of cancer or high-risk disorders should not have the term cancer in them. The rationale for this change in approach is that indolent lesions with low malignant potential are common, and screening brings indolent lesions and their precursors to clinical attention, which leads to overdiagnosis and, if unrecognised, possible overtreatment. To minimise that potential, new strategies should be adopted to better define and manage IDLEs. Screening guidelines should be revised to lower the chance of detection of minimal-risk IDLEs and inconsequential cancers with the same energy traditionally used to increase the sensitivity of screening tests. Changing the terminology for some of the lesions currently referred to as cancer will allow physicians to shift medicolegal notions and perceived risk to reflect the evolving understanding of biology, be more judicious about when a biopsy should be done, and organise studies and registries that offer observation or less invasive approaches for indolent disease. Emphasis on avoidance of harm while assuring benefit will improve screening and treatment of patients and will be equally effective in the prevention of death from cancer.

Indexed as

Terminology as TopicEarly Detection of CancerHumansNeoplasmsPrecancerous Conditions

Identifiers

PMID24807866
PMCPMC4322920
OpenAlexW2129034112

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.