Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24798675›Full record

Trial reportJAMA internal medicine2014

Fracture prediction after discontinuation of 4 to 5 years of alendronate therapy: the FLEX study.

Douglas C Bauer, Ann Schwartz, Lisa Palermo, Jane Cauley, Marc Hochberg, Art Santora, Steven R Cummings, Dennis M Black

Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in JAMA internal medicine, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00398931 (A 5-year, Double-blind, Randomized, Placebo-controlled Extension Study to Examine the Long-term Safety and Efficacy of Oral Alendronate in Postmenopausal Women Who Previously Received Alendronate in Conjunction With the Fracture Intervention Trial), which is not on this map. Cited by 41 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
16.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00398931 phase3completednot on this map

A 5-year, Double-blind, Randomized, Placebo-controlled Extension Study to Examine the Long-term Safety and Efficacy of Oral Alendronate in Postmenopausal Women Who Previously Received Alendronate in Conjunction With the Fracture Intervention Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorOrganon and CoRan1998 to 2003Enrolled1,099ConditionsOsteoporosis, PostmenopausalArmsMK0217, alendronate sodium / Duration of Treatment : 5 Years, Comparator : placebo (unspecified) /Duration of Treatment : 5 Years
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 129 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
  3. Fracture risk following intermission of osteoporosis therapy.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2019
    Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Clinician's Guide to Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2014
    Guideline
  6. Early changes in bone turnover and bone mineral density after discontinuation of long-term oral bisphosphonates: a post hoc analysis.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2021
    Trial
  7. Comparison of BMD Changes and Bone Formation Marker Levels 3 Years After Bisphosphonate Discontinuation: FLEX and HORIZON-PFT Extension I Trials.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2019
    Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Impact of bisphosphonate drug holidays on bone mineral density and osteoporotic fracture risk: real-world evidence from a retrospective cohort study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) for osteoporosis screening in US postmenopausal women: is it cost-effective?Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Douglas C BauerDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco.
Ann SchwartzDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco.
Lisa PalermoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco.
Jane CauleyDepartment of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Marc HochbergDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore.
Art SantoraMerck and Co, Inc, Rahway, New Jersey.
Steven R CummingsCalifornia Pacific Research Foundation, San Francisco, California.
Dennis M BlackDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco.
University of California, San Francisco · USMerck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA (United States) · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

Biomarker Research in Musculoskeleton DiseaseK24AR051895 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI BAUER, DOUGLAS C · 2005 to 2015
$1.5M
NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR051895
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

importanceDiscontinuation of bisphosphonate therapy after 3 to 5 years is increasingly considered, but methods to monitor fracture risk after discontinuation have not been established.

objectiveTo test methods of predicting fracture risk among women who have discontinued alendronate therapy after 4 to 5 years. DESIGN, SETTING, AND

participantsThe prospective Fracture Intervention Trial Long-term Extension (FLEX) study randomized postmenopausal women aged 61 to 86 years previously treated with 4 to 5 years of alendronate therapy to 5 more years of alendronate or placebo from 1998 through 2003; the present analysis includes only the placebo group. Hip and spine dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) were measured when placebo was begun (FLEX baseline) and after 1 to 3 years of follow-up. Two biochemical markers of bone turnover, urinary type 1 collagen cross-linked N-telopeptide (NTX) and serum bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BAP), were measured at FLEX baseline and after 1 and 3 years. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Symptomatic spine and nonspine fractures occurring after the follow-up measurement of DXA or bone turnover.

resultsDuring 5 years of placebo, 94 of 437 women (22%) experienced 1 or more symptomatic fractures; 82 had fractures after 1 year. One-year changes in hip DXA, NTX, and BAP were not related to subsequent fracture risk, but older age and lower hip DXA at time of discontinuation were significantly related to increased fracture risk (lowest tertile of baseline femoral neck DXA vs other 2 tertiles relative hazard ratio, 2.17 [95% CI, 1.38-3.41]; total hip DXA relative hazard ratio, 1.87 [95% CI, 1.20-2.92]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among postmenopausal women who discontinue alendronate therapy after 4 to 5 years, age and hip BMD at discontinuation predict clinical fractures during the subsequent 5 years. Follow-up measurements of DXA 1 year after discontinuation and of BAP or NTX 1 to 2 years after discontinuation are not associated with fracture risk and cannot be recommended.

trial registrationclinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00398931.

Indexed as

ForecastingAbsorptiometry, PhotonAgedAged, 80 and overAlendronateAlkaline PhosphataseBiomarkersBone DensityBone Density Conservation AgentsFemaleFractures, BoneHumansMiddle AgedProspective StudiesUnited StatesAlendronateAlkaline PhosphataseBiomarkersBone Density Conservation Agents

Identifiers

PMID24798675
PMCPMC4409325
OpenAlexW2112363729

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.