ArticleScientific reports2014
Determination of original infection source of H7N9 avian influenza by dynamical model.
Article in Scientific reports, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed.
- Prevalence, Diversity, and Virulence ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Evolutionary dynamics of Usutu virus: Worldwide dispersal patterns and transmission dynamics in Europe.Frontiers in microbiology · 2023Article
- Assessing potential pathogenicity of novel highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N6) viruses isolated from Mongolian wild duck feces using a mouse model.Emerging microbes & infections · 2022Article
- Assessing different interventions against Avian Influenza A (H7N9) infection by an epidemiological model.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2021Article
- Predicting the current and future global distribution of the invasive freshwater hydrozoan Craspedacusta sowerbii.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Lessons learned and questions raised during and post-COVID-19 anthropopause period in relation to the environment and climate.Environment, development and sustainability · 2021Article
- A two-thresholds policy for a Filippov model in combating influenza.Journal of mathematical biology · 2020Article
- Spatiotemporal Distributions and Dynamics of Human Infections with the A H7N9 Avian Influenza Virus.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2019Article
- A switching model for the impact of toxins on the spread of infectious diseases.Journal of mathematical biology · 2018Article
- Coupling dynamics of epidemic spreading and information diffusion on complex networks.Applied mathematics and computation · 2018Article
- The temporal distribution of new H7N9 avian influenza infections based on laboratory-confirmed cases in Mainland China, 2013-2017.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Avian Influenza A (H7N9) Model Based on Poultry Transport Network in China.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2018Article
- Interpreting the transmissibility of the avian influenza A(H7N9) infection from 2013 to 2015 in Zhejiang Province, China.Epidemiology and infection · 2016Article
- Modeling the transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease in Liberia.Scientific reports · 2015Article
- Characterization of influenza A (H7N9) viruses isolated from human cases imported into Taiwan.PloS one · 2015Article
- Hybrid epidemics--a case study on computer worm conficker.PloS one · 2015Article
- Global dynamics of avian influenza epidemic models with psychological effect.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2015Article
- Visualized Exploratory Spatiotemporal Analysis of Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease in Southern China.PloS one · 2015Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
H7N9, a newly emerging virus in China, travels among poultry and human. Although H7N9 has not aroused massive outbreaks, recurrence in the second half of 2013 makes it essential to control the spread. It is believed that the most effective control measure is to locate the original infection source and cut off the source of infection from human. However, the original infection source and the internal transmission mechanism of the new virus are not totally clear. In order to determine the original infection source of H7N9, we establish a dynamical model with migratory bird, resident bird, domestic poultry and human population, and view migratory bird, resident bird, domestic poultry as original infection source respectively to fit the true dynamics during the 2013 pandemic. By comparing the date fitting results and corresponding Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) values, we conclude that migrant birds are most likely the original infection source. In addition, we obtain the basic reproduction number in poultry and carry out sensitivity analysis of some parameters.
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