Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24777832›Full record

ArticleHealth care management science2015

Ensemble of trees approaches to risk adjustment for evaluating a hospital's performance.

Yang Liu, Mikhail Traskin, Scott A Lorch, Edward I George, Dylan Small

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Health care management science, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
11.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Using Tree-Based Machine Learning for Health Studies: Literature Review and Case Series.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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  11. Calibration Drift Among Regression and Machine Learning Models for Hospital Mortality.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2017
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Foreward to special issue on health analytics.Health care management science · 2015
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Yang LiuDepartment of Mathematics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA, liuyang.upenn@gmail.com.
Mikhail Traskin
Scott A Lorch
Edward I George
Dylan Small
University of Pennsylvania · USChildren's Hospital of Philadelphia · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A commonly used method for evaluating a hospital's performance on an outcome is to compare the hospital's observed outcome rate to the hospital's expected outcome rate given its patient (case) mix and service. The process of calculating the hospital's expected outcome rate given its patient mix and service is called risk adjustment (Iezzoni 1997). Risk adjustment is critical for accurately evaluating and comparing hospitals' performances since we would not want to unfairly penalize a hospital just because it treats sicker patients. The key to risk adjustment is accurately estimating the probability of an Outcome given patient characteristics. For cases with binary outcomes, the method that is commonly used in risk adjustment is logistic regression. In this paper, we consider ensemble of trees methods as alternatives for risk adjustment, including random forests and Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). Both random forests and BART are modern machine learning methods that have been shown recently to have excellent performance for prediction of outcomes in many settings. We apply these methods to carry out risk adjustment for the performance of neonatal intensive care units (NICU). We show that these ensemble of trees methods outperform logistic regression in predicting mortality among babies treated in NICU, and provide a superior method of risk adjustment compared to logistic regression.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceBayes TheoremHospital MortalityBirth WeightDiagnosis-Related GroupsFemaleGestational AgeHospital AdministrationHumansIntensive Care Units, NeonatalLogistic ModelsOutcome Assessment, Health CarePregnancyPregnancy ComplicationsPremature BirthPrenatal Care

Identifiers

PMID24777832
OpenAlexW2118635720

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.