ArticleParasites & vectors2014
Implications of climate change on the distribution of the tick vector Ixodes scapularis and risk for Lyme disease in the Texas-Mexico transboundary region.
Article in Parasites & vectors, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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47 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 102 citations in OpenAlex.
- Efficacy of Borrelia burgdorferi vaccine in dogs in North America: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of veterinary internal medicine · 2019Pooled it
- Impact of climate change on occupational health and productivity: a systematic literature review focusing on workplace heat.La Medicina del lavoro · 2018Pooled it
- Comparison of tick surveillance approaches: Utilizing trailhead tick-check stations to support tick surveillance and community education.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Different drivers, same tick: Effect of host traits, habitat, and climate on the infestation of three rodent specieInternational journal for parasitology. Parasites and wildlife · 2025Article
- Impact of climate change on the tick-host-pathogen complex: distribution patterns, disease incidence, and host infestation.Revista brasileira de parasitologia veterinaria = Brazilian journal of veterinary parasitology : Orgao Oficial do Colegio Brasileiro de Parasitologia Veterinaria · 2025Review
- Models and data used to predict the abundance and distribution ofLancet regional health. Americas · 2024Article
- Identification of habitat suitability for the dominant zoonotic tick speciesScience in One Health · 2024Article
- Mapping African Swine Fever and Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Outbreaks along the Demilitarized Zone in the Korean Peninsula.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2024Article
- Changes in the geographic distribution of the blacklegged tick, Ixodes scapularis, in the United States.Ticks and tick-borne diseases · 2023Review
- The Eurasian shrew and vole tick Ixodes trianguliceps: geographical distribution, climate preference, and pathogens detected.Experimental & applied acarology · 2023Article
- Drought, HIV Testing, and HIV Transmission Risk Behaviors: A Population-Based Study in 10 High HIV Prevalence Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa.AIDS and behavior · 2023Article
- Risky business: human-related data is lacking from Lyme disease risk models.Frontiers in public health · 2023Review
- Article
- Models of spatial analysis for vector-borne diseases studies: A systematic review.Veterinary world · 2022Article
- Possible Association between Selected Tick-Borne Pathogen Prevalence andPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Gap Analysis of the Habitat Interface of Ticks and Wildlife in Mexico.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Review
- Review
- The Synergistic Relationship Between Climate Change and the HIV/AIDS Epidemic: A Conceptual Framework.AIDS and behavior · 2021Review
- Tick-Borne Surveillance Patterns in Perceived Non-Endemic Geographic Areas: Human Tick Encounters and Disease Outcomes.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Serological and Molecular Evidence of Patients Infected withDiseases (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundDisease risk maps are important tools that help ascertain the likelihood of exposure to specific infectious agents. Understanding how climate change may affect the suitability of habitats for ticks will improve the accuracy of risk maps of tick-borne pathogen transmission in humans and domestic animal populations. Lyme disease (LD) is the most prevalent arthropod borne disease in the US and Europe. The bacterium Borrelia burgdorferi causes LD and it is transmitted to humans and other mammalian hosts through the bite of infected Ixodes ticks. LD risk maps in the transboundary region between the U.S. and Mexico are lacking. Moreover, none of the published studies that evaluated the effect of climate change in the spatial and temporal distribution of I. scapularis have focused on this region.
methodsThe area of study included Texas and a portion of northeast Mexico. This area is referred herein as the Texas-Mexico transboundary region. Tick samples were obtained from various vertebrate hosts in the region under study. Ticks identified as I. scapularis were processed to obtain DNA and to determine if they were infected with B. burgdorferi using PCR. A maximum entropy approach (MAXENT) was used to forecast the present and future (2050) distribution of B. burgdorferi-infected I. scapularis in the Texas-Mexico transboundary region by correlating geographic data with climatic variables.
resultsOf the 1235 tick samples collected, 109 were identified as I. scapularis. Infection with B. burgdorferi was detected in 45% of the I. scapularis ticks collected. The model presented here indicates a wide distribution for I. scapularis, with higher probability of occurrence along the Gulf of Mexico coast. Results of the modeling approach applied predict that habitat suitable for the distribution of I. scapularis in the Texas-Mexico transboundary region will remain relatively stable until 2050.
conclusionsThe Texas-Mexico transboundary region appears to be part of a continuum in the pathogenic landscape of LD. Forecasting based on climate trends provides a tool to adapt strategies in the near future to mitigate the impact of LD related to its distribution and risk for transmission to human populations in the Mexico-US transboundary region.
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