ArticleBMC medical research methodology2014
Attributable risk from distributed lag models.
Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 335 papers, 11 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
335 citing papers in PubMed, 11 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
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- Countrywide analysis of heat- and cold-related mortality trends in the Czech Republic: growing inequalities under recent climate warming.International journal of epidemiology · 2024Pooled it
- Association between temperature and mortality: a multi-city time series study in Sichuan Basin, southwest China.Environmental health and preventive medicine · 2024Pooled it
- Short-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution and Influenza: A Multicity Study in China.Environmental health perspectives · 2023Pooled it
- A Nationwide Comparative Analysis of Temperature-Related Mortality and Morbidity in Japan.Environmental health perspectives · 2023Pooled it
- Impacts of exposure to humidex on cardiovascular mortality: a multi-city study in Southwest China.BMC public health · 2023Pooled it
- Heat exposure and hospitalizations for chronic kidney disease in China: a nationwide time series study in 261 major Chinese cities.Military Medical Research · 2023Pooled it
- Urban heat island impacts on heat-related cardiovascular morbidity: A time series analysis of older adults in US metropolitan areas.Environment international · 2023Pooled it
- Spatial distribution and driving factors of the associations between temperature and influenza-like illness in the United States: a time-stratified case-crossover study.BMC public health · 2023Pooled it
- Floods and diarrheal morbidity: Evidence on the relationship, effect modifiers, and attributable risk from Sichuan Province, China.Journal of global health · 2022Pooled it
- Influence of temperature on mortality in the French overseas regions: a pledge for adaptation to heat in tropical marine climates.International journal of biometeorology · 2022Pooled it
- Effects of climatic factors on rotavirus infection in Bangladesh: a time series analysis and future projections.Global health action · 2026Article
- Associations between Legionellosis and meteorological variables in Ohio, 2001-2023.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- District-level analysis of temperature-related excess mortality in the Netherlands.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2026Article
- Heat Exposure Definitions in Temperature-Mortality Studies: Towards a Harmonisation Framework.Current environmental health reports · 2026Review
- Association between ambient temperature and the risk of hospital admission for injury in South Korea.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2026Article
- Mortality and healthcare services in Pennsylvania state prisons following extreme ambient temperatures.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Heat exposure and maternal stress: evidence from the GRAPHS pregnancy cohort in Ghana.Environmental research, health : ERH · 2026Article
- Epidemiologically validated spatial modelling reveals fine-scale heat health risks.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2026Article
- Article
275 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundMeasures of attributable risk are an integral part of epidemiological analyses, particularly when aimed at the planning and evaluation of public health interventions. However, the current definition of such measures does not consider any temporal relationships between exposure and risk. In this contribution, we propose extended definitions of attributable risk within the framework of distributed lag non-linear models, an approach recently proposed for modelling delayed associations in either linear or non-linear exposure-response associations.
methodsWe classify versions of attributable number and fraction expressed using either a forward or backward perspective. The former specifies the future burden due to a given exposure event, while the latter summarizes the current burden due to the set of exposure events experienced in the past. In addition, we illustrate how the components related to sub-ranges of the exposure can be separated.
resultsWe apply these methods for estimating the mortality risk attributable to outdoor temperature in two cities, London and Rome, using time series data for the periods 1993-2006 and 1992-2010, respectively. The analysis provides estimates of the overall mortality burden attributable to temperature, and then computes the components attributable to cold and heat and then mild and extreme temperatures.
conclusionsThese extended definitions of attributable risk account for the additional temporal dimension which characterizes exposure-response associations, providing more appropriate attributable measures in the presence of dependencies characterized by potentially complex temporal patterns.
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