ArticleEvolution; international journal of organic evolution2014
Estimating the duration of speciation from phylogenies.
Article in Evolution; international journal of organic evolution, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 18 papers.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Parameter Estimation from Phylogenetic Trees Using Neural Networks and Ensemble Learning.Systematic biology · 2026Article
- Species Richness and Speciation Rates for all Terrestrial Animals Emerge from a Synthesis of Ecological Theories.Systematic biology · 2025Article
- Speciation completion rates have limited impact on macroevolutionary diversification.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Article
- "A mathematical theory of evolution": phylogenetic models dating back 100 years.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Reading Yule in light of the history and present of macroevolution.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Article
- The Phylogenetic Limits to Diversity-Dependent Diversification.Systematic biology · 2023Article
- Protracted Speciation under the State-Dependent Speciation and Extinction Approach.Systematic biology · 2022Article
- Phylogenetics in space: How continuous spatial structure impacts tree inference.Molecular phylogenetics and evolution · 2022Review
- Species Persistence with Hybridization in Toad-Headed Lizards Driven by Divergent Selection and Low Recombination.Molecular biology and evolution · 2022Article
- Earth history events shaped the evolution of uneven biodiversity across tropical moist forests.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Linking population-level and microevolutionary processes to understand speciation dynamics at the macroevolutionary scale.Ecology and evolution · 2021Article
- Incorporating the speciation process into species delimitation.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
- Additional Analytical Support for a New Method to Compute the Likelihood of Diversification Models.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2020Article
- The Spectre of Too Many Species.Systematic biology · 2019Article
- Comparison of Methods for Molecular Species Delimitation Across a Range of Speciation Scenarios.Systematic biology · 2018Article
- Microevolutionary processes impact macroevolutionary patterns.BMC evolutionary biology · 2018Article
- Article
- Multispecies coalescent delimits structure, not species.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issuedCorrigendum.2017
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Speciation is not instantaneous but takes time. The protracted birth-death diversification model incorporates this fact and predicts the often observed slowdown of lineage accumulation toward the present. The mathematical complexity of the protracted speciation model has barred estimation of its parameters until recently a method to compute the likelihood of phylogenetic branching times under this model was outlined (Lambert et al. ). Here, we implement this method and study using simulated phylogenies of extant species how well we can estimate the model parameters (rate of initiation of speciation, rate of extinction of incipient and good species, and rate of completion of speciation) as well as the duration of speciation, which is a combination of the aforementioned parameters. We illustrate our approach by applying it to a primate phylogeny. The simulations show that phylogenies often do not contain enough information to provide unbiased estimates of the speciation-initiation rate and the extinction rate, but the duration of speciation can be estimated without much bias. The estimate of the duration of speciation for the primate clade is consistent with literature estimates. We conclude that phylogenies combined with the protracted speciation model provide a promising way to estimate the duration of speciation.
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