Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24733953›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2014

Drivers of extinction risk in African mammals: the interplay of distribution state, human pressure, conservation response and species biology.

Moreno Di Marco, Graeme M Buchanan, Zoltan Szantoi, Milena Holmgren, Gabriele Grottolo Marasini, Dorit Gross, Sandra Tranquilli, Luigi Boitani, Carlo Rondinini

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Using comparative extinction risk analysis to prioritize the IUCN Red List reassessments of amphibians.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2024
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Quantification of habitat fragmentation reveals extinction risk in terrestrial mammals.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2017
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Satellite remote sensing, biodiversity research and conservation of the future.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2014
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Role of African protected areas in maintaining connectivity for large mammals.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2014
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Moreno Di MarcoGlobal Mammal Assessment Program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza Università di Roma, , Viale dell' Università 32, 00185 Rome, Italy.
Graeme M Buchanan
Zoltan Szantoi
Milena Holmgren
Gabriele Grottolo Marasini
Dorit Gross
Sandra Tranquilli
Luigi Boitani
Carlo Rondinini

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although conservation intervention has reversed the decline of some species, our success is outweighed by a much larger number of species moving towards extinction. Extinction risk modelling can identify correlates of risk and species not yet recognized to be threatened. Here, we use machine learning models to identify correlates of extinction risk in African terrestrial mammals using a set of variables belonging to four classes: species distribution state, human pressures, conservation response and species biology. We derived information on distribution state and human pressure from satellite-borne imagery. Variables in all four classes were identified as important predictors of extinction risk, and interactions were observed among variables in different classes (e.g. level of protection, human threats, species distribution ranges). Species biology had a key role in mediating the effect of external variables. The model was 90% accurate in classifying extinction risk status of species, but in a few cases the observed and modelled extinction risk mismatched. Species in this condition might suffer from an incorrect classification of extinction risk (hence require reassessment). An increased availability of satellite imagery combined with improved resolution and classification accuracy of the resulting maps will play a progressively greater role in conservation monitoring.

Indexed as

EcosystemExtinction, BiologicalModels, TheoreticalAfricaAnimalsConservation of Natural ResourcesHumansMammalsRisk AssessmentSatellite Imagerybiodiversity, conservation actionshabitat losslife historyrandom forest modelthreats

Identifiers

PMID24733953
PMCPMC3983933

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.