ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2014
Estimating epidemiological parameters for bovine tuberculosis in British cattle using a Bayesian partial-likelihood approach.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.
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Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed.
- Estimating epidemiological parameters of highly pathogenic avian influenza in common terns using exact Bayesian inference.The Journal of animal ecology · 2025Article
- Bovine tuberculosis model validation against a field study of badger vaccination with selective culling.PloS one · 2025Article
- Mathematical modeling at the livestock-wildlife interface: scoping review of drivers of disease transmission between species.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2023Article
- A new phylodynamic model of Mycobacterium bovis transmission in a multi-host system uncovers the role of the unobserved reservoir.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
- Use of Network Analysis and Spread Models to Target Control Actions for Bovine Tuberculosis in a State from Brazil.Microorganisms · 2021Article
- Cell-Mediated Immunological Biomarkers and Their Diagnostic Application in Livestock and Wildlife Infected WithFrontiers in immunology · 2021Review
- Identifying likely transmissions in Mycobacterium bovis infected populations of cattle and badgers using the Kolmogorov Forward Equations.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Estimating individuals' genetic and non-genetic effects underlying infectious disease transmission from temporal epidemic data.PLoS computational biology · 2020Article
- Enhancing genetic disease control by selecting for lower host infectivity and susceptibility.Heredity · 2019Article
- Genetic differences in host infectivity affect disease spread and survival in epidemics.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- A new bovine tuberculosis model for England and Wales (BoTMEW) to simulate epidemiology, surveillance and control.BMC veterinary research · 2018Article
- The intractable challenge of evaluating cattle vaccination as a control for bovine Tuberculosis.eLife · 2018Article
- Evaluation of the Performance of the IDvet IFN-Gamma Test for Diagnosis of Bovine Tuberculosis in Spain.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2018Article
- Impact of Genetic Selection for Increased Cattle Resistance to Bovine Tuberculosis on Disease Transmission Dynamics.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2018Article
- Can We Breed Cattle for Lower Bovine TB Infectivity?Frontiers in veterinary science · 2018Article
- The Herd-Level Sensitivity of Abattoir Surveillance for Bovine Tuberculosis: Simulating the Effects of Current and Potentially Modified Meat Inspection Procedures in Irish Cattle.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2018Article
- Assessment of listing and categorisation of animal diseases within the framework of the Animal Health Law (Regulation (EU) No 2016/429): bovine tuberculosis.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2017Article
- Optimal surveillance strategies for bovine tuberculosis in a low-prevalence country.Scientific reports · 2017Article
- Transmission dynamics and elimination potential of zoonotic tuberculosis in morocco.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2017Article
- An Integrated Framework for Process-Driven Model Construction in Disease Ecology and Animal Health.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2017Review
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4 authors.
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Abstract
Fitting models with Bayesian likelihood-based parameter inference is becoming increasingly important in infectious disease epidemiology. Detailed datasets present the opportunity to identify subsets of these data that capture important characteristics of the underlying epidemiology. One such dataset describes the epidemic of bovine tuberculosis (bTB) in British cattle, which is also an important exemplar of a disease with a wildlife reservoir (the Eurasian badger). Here, we evaluate a set of nested dynamic models of bTB transmission, including individual- and herd-level transmission heterogeneity and assuming minimal prior knowledge of the transmission and diagnostic test parameters. We performed a likelihood-based bootstrapping operation on the model to infer parameters based only on the recorded numbers of cattle testing positive for bTB at the start of each herd outbreak considering high- and low-risk areas separately. Models without herd heterogeneity are preferred in both areas though there is some evidence for super-spreading cattle. Similar to previous studies, we found low test sensitivities and high within-herd basic reproduction numbers (R0), suggesting that there may be many unobserved infections in cattle, even though the current testing regime is sufficient to control within-herd epidemics in most cases. Compared with other, more data-heavy approaches, the summary data used in our approach are easily collected, making our approach attractive for other systems.
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