Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24700801›Full record

SynthesisJournal of the National Cancer Institute2014

Comparative meta-analysis of prognostic gene signatures for late-stage ovarian cancer.

Levi Waldron, Benjamin Haibe-Kains, Aedín C Culhane, Markus Riester, Jie Ding, Xin Victoria Wang, Mahnaz Ahmadifar, Svitlana Tyekucheva, Christoph Bernau, Thomas Risch and 4 more

Abstract readComparative StudyMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 75 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
75citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

75 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The Impact of Stroma Admixture on Molecular Subtypes and Prognostic Gene Signatures in Serous Ovarian Cancer.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2020
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  11. Telomerase-Associated Genes as Prognostic Markers in High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2026
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15 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Levi WaldronAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Benjamin Haibe-KainsAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Aedín C CulhaneAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Markus RiesterAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Jie DingAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Xin Victoria WangAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Mahnaz AhmadifarAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Svitlana TyekuchevaAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Christoph BernauAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Thomas RischAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Benjamin Frederick GanzfriedAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Curtis HuttenhowerAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Michael BirrerAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB).
Giovanni ParmigianiAffiliations of authors: City University of New York School of Public Health, Hunter College, New York, NY (LW); Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA (LW, AC, MR, JD, XVW, ST, TR, BG, GP); Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA (LW, AC, CH, GP); Center for Cancer Research, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA (MB); Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH); Medical Biophysics Department, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (BH);Institute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany (CB). gp@jimmy.harvard.edu.

Funding

VectorP30CA006516 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INSTITUTE · PI JENNIFER W MACK · 1985 to 2026
$330.6M
Genomic Stratification of Ovarian Cancer PatientsRC4CA156551 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BIRRER, MICHAEL · 2010 to 2010
$3.7M
NCI NIH HHS 1RC4CA156551-01NCI NIH HHS 5P30 CA006516-46NCI NIH HHS P30 CA006516NCI NIH HHS RC4 CA156551
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOvarian cancer is the fifth most common cause of cancer deaths in women in the United States. Numerous gene signatures of patient prognosis have been proposed, but diverse data and methods make these difficult to compare or use in a clinically meaningful way. We sought to identify successful published prognostic gene signatures through systematic validation using public data.

methodsA systematic review identified 14 prognostic models for late-stage ovarian cancer. For each, we evaluated its 1) reimplementation as described by the original study, 2) performance for prognosis of overall survival in independent data, and 3) performance compared with random gene signatures. We compared and ranked models by validation in 10 published datasets comprising 1251 primarily high-grade, late-stage serous ovarian cancer patients. All tests of statistical significance were two-sided.

resultsTwelve published models had 95% confidence intervals of the C-index that did not include the null value of 0.5; eight outperformed 97.5% of signatures including the same number of randomly selected genes and trained on the same data. The four top-ranked models achieved overall validation C-indices of 0.56 to 0.60 and shared anticorrelation with expression of immune response pathways. Most models demonstrated lower accuracy in new datasets than in validation sets presented in their publication.

conclusionsThis analysis provides definitive support for a handful of prognostic models but also confirms that these require improvement to be of clinical value. This work addresses outstanding controversies in the ovarian cancer literature and provides a reproducible framework for meta-analytic evaluation of gene signatures.

Indexed as

FemaleHumansNeoplasm StagingOvarian NeoplasmsPrognosisTranscriptome

Identifiers

PMID24700801
PMCPMC4580554

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.