Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24681416›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2014

The undiagnosed HIV epidemic in France and its implications for HIV screening strategies.

Virginie Supervie, Jacques D A Ndawinz, Sara Lodi, Dominique Costagliola

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
7.0field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 76 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. People living with undiagnosed HIV infection and a low CD4 count: estimates from surveillance data, Italy, 2012 to 2014.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Virginie SupervieaSorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ Paris 06 bINSERM, UMR_S 1136 Pierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health, Paris, France cInstituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain dHarvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jacques D A Ndawinz
Sara Lodi
Dominique Costagliola
Inserm · FRHarvard University · US

Funding

Dynamic strategies for the clinical management of HIV diseaseR01AI102634 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HERNAN, MIGUEL · 2013 to 2017
$2.6M
Dynamic Strategies for the clinical management of HIV diseaseR56AI102634 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HERNAN, MIGUEL · 2012 to 2012
$572k
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI102634NIAID NIH HHS R56 AI102634
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDescribing the undiagnosed HIV-infected population is essential for guiding HIV screening policy, implementing interventions, and resource planning.

methodsWe used French national HIV surveillance data and a back-calculation approach to estimate the number of undiagnosed HIV-infected individuals in France and the distribution of time since HIV infection among undiagnosed individuals. We also used data on CD4⁺ cell count decline to assess the CD4⁺ cell count distribution among undiagnosed individuals.

resultsWe estimated that 29,000 [95% confidence interval (CI): 24,200-33,900] individuals were living with undiagnosed HIV infection at the end of 2010. Of these, 28.7% (95% CI: 27.1-30.4) were infected less than a year ago, 16.4% (95% CI: 15.0-17.8) more than 5 years ago, and 59.6% (95% CI: 59.2-59.8) were eligible for antiretroviral treatment (CD4⁺ cell count less than 500 cells/μl) according to the 2010 French guidelines. Men represented 70.0% of the undiagnosed HIV-infected individuals and had lower CD4⁺ cell counts than women. The numbers of undiagnosed infections in MSM, non-French national heterosexuals, and French national heterosexuals were similar (9200, 9300, 10,000, respectively). However, because of differences in group size, undiagnosed HIV prevalence varied significantly between these groups (2.95, 0.36, 0.03%, respectively; P less than 0.001).

conclusionOur findings suggest that many undiagnosed HIV-infected individuals were eligible for treatment and, thus, lack of HIV diagnosis is a lost chance for them; many more heterosexuals than MSM will need to be tested to find those undiagnosed; and universal screening of men may be cost-effective, especially in the areas most affected by the epidemic, such as the Paris region.

Indexed as

EpidemicsModels, TheoreticalAdolescentAdultAnti-Retroviral AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountFemaleFranceHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedParisTime FactorsYoung AdultAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID24681416
PMCPMC4262966
OpenAlexW2027000246

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.