ArticlePloS one2014
Overweight in adolescence can be predicted at age 6 years: a CART analysis in German cohorts.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Diet Quality and Weight Status are Predicted by Federal Nutrition Assistance Program Participation, Health, and Demographics.Current developments in nutrition · 2025Article
- Modelling individual infancy growth trajectories to predict excessive gain in BMI z-score: a comparison of growth measures in the ABCD and GECKO Drenthe cohorts.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Identifying the sociodemographic and work-related factors related to workers' daily physical activity using a decision tree approach.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Dependence of Body Mass Index on Some Dietary Habits: An Application of Classification and Regression Tree.Iranian journal of public health · 2022Article
- Risk Factors for Childhood Overweight and Obesity in Ukraine and GermanyJournal of clinical research in pediatric endocrinology · 2019Article
- Developmental trajectories of body mass index from childhood into late adolescence and subsequent late adolescence-young adulthood cardiometabolic risk markers.Cardiovascular diabetology · 2019Article
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8 authors.
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Abstract
objectiveTo examine, whether overweight in adolescents can be predicted from the body mass index (BMI) category, at the age of 6, the mother's education level and mother's obesity and to quantify the proportion of overweight at the age of 14 that can be explained by these predictors.
methodPooled data from three German cohorts providing anthropometric and other relevant data to a total of 1 287 children. We used a classification and regression tree (CART) approach to identify the contribution of BMI category at the age of 6 (obese: BMI > 97th percentile (P97); overweight: P90 < BMI ≤ P97; high normal weight: P75<BMI ≤ P90; third quartile: P50<BMI ≤ P75; below the median: ≤ P50), maternal education level and maternal obesity for prediction of overweight/obesity (BMI>P90) at the age of 14.
resultsWhile 4.8% [95%CI: 3.2;7.0] of 651 boys and 4.1% [95%CI: 2.6;6.2] of 636 girls with a BMI<P75 at age 6 were overweight/obese in adolescence, prevalence increased to 41.3% [95%CI: 31.9;51.1] and 42.5% [95%CI: 33.8;51.6], respectively, in those with BMI ≥ P75. The lowest prevalence was 1.9% [95%CI: 0.8;3.8] in boys with a BMI ≤ P50 and the highest prevalence 91.7% [95%CI: 61.5;99.8] with a BMI>P97 (similar results for girls). BM I ≥ P75 at the age of 6 explained 63.5% [95%CI: 51.1;74.5]) and 72.0% [95%CI: 60.4;81.8] of overweight/obesity at the age of 14 in boys and girls, respectively.
conclusionsOverweight/obesity in adolescence can be predicted by BMI category at the age of 6 allowing for parent counselling or risk guided interventions in children with BMI ≥ P75, who accounted for >2/3 of overweight/obesity in adolescents.
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