ArticlePloS one2014
The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 76 citations in OpenAlex.
- Simulating contact networks for livestock disease epidemiology: a systematic review.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023Pooled it
- Data-Driven Models of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Dynamics: A Review.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2017Pooled it
- Prevalence and Relatedness of Salmonella in the Environments of Livestock Markets Handling Surplus Dairy Calves.Zoonoses and public health · 2026Article
- The emergence and molecular evolution of H5N1 influenza viruses in United States dairy cattle.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- A spatiotemporal transmission simulator for respiratory infectious diseases and its application to COVID-19.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Epidemiology and economics of foot-and-mouth disease: current understanding and knowledge gaps.Veterinary research · 2025Review
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- Article
- Modelling African horse sickness emergence and transmission in the South African control area using a deterministic metapopulation approach.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- The Importance of Livestock Demography and Infrastructure in Driving Foot and Mouth Disease Dynamics.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Adaptive risk-based targeted surveillance for foreign animal diseases at the wildlife-livestock interface.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2022Article
- Cattle transport network predicts endemic and epidemic foot-and-mouth disease risk on farms in Turkey.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Modelling livestock infectious disease control policy under differing social perspectives on vaccination behaviour.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Analysis of suspensions and recoveries of official foot and mouth disease free status of WOAH Members between 1996 and 2020.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2022Article
- Research perspectives on animal health in the era of artificial intelligence.Veterinary research · 2021Review
- Assessing intrastate shipments from interstate data and expert opinion.Royal Society open science · 2021Article
- Management of chronic wasting disease in ranched elk: conclusions from a longitudinal three-year study.Prion · 2020Article
- Public health preparedness and responses to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in South Asia: a situation and policy analysis.Global health journal (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2020Article
- Effects of regional differences and demography in modelling foot-and-mouth disease in cattle at the national scale.Interface focus · 2020Article
- Realistic assumptions about spatial locations and clustering of premises matter for models of foot-and-mouth disease spread in the United States.PLoS computational biology · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Globalization has increased the potential for the introduction and spread of novel pathogens over large spatial scales necessitating continental-scale disease models to guide emergency preparedness. Livestock disease spread models, such as those for the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) epidemic in the United Kingdom, represent some of the best case studies of large-scale disease spread. However, generalization of these models to explore disease outcomes in other systems, such as the United States's cattle industry, has been hampered by differences in system size and complexity and the absence of suitable livestock movement data. Here, a unique database of US cattle shipments allows estimation of synthetic movement networks that inform a near-continental scale disease model of a potential FMD-like (i.e., rapidly spreading) epidemic in US cattle. The largest epidemics may affect over one-third of the US and 120,000 cattle premises, but cattle movement restrictions from infected counties, as opposed to national movement moratoriums, are found to effectively contain outbreaks. Slow detection or weak compliance may necessitate more severe state-level bans for similar control. Such results highlight the role of large-scale disease models in emergency preparedness, particularly for systems lacking comprehensive movement and outbreak data, and the need to rapidly implement multi-scale contingency plans during a potential US outbreak.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.