ArticleGlobal change biology2014
Climate-driven spatial mismatches between British orchards and their pollinators: increased risks of pollination deficits.
Article in Global change biology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 91 citations in OpenAlex.
- Species Extinction, Biodiversity, Human Health, and Inevitable Role of Lifestyle Medicine: A Narrative Review.American journal of lifestyle medicine · 2026Review
- Pollinator Dependency and Regional Climate Affect Crop Yield Development Under Climate Change.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- In the battle of survival: transcriptome analysis of hypopharyngeal gland of the Apis mellifera under temperature-stress.BMC genomics · 2025Article
- Thermal limits of bumblebees and honeybees are modulated by different functional traits: predictions of a mechanistic model.PloS one · 2025Article
- Article
- A whole ecosystem approach to pear psyllid (Journal of pest science · 2024Review
- Spatio-temporal shifts in British wild bees in response to changing climate.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Identifying priority reserves favors the sustainable development of wild ungulates and the construction of Sanjiangyuan National Park.Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
- The Effect of Cold Periods on the Biological Cycle ofInsects · 2022Article
- Alien balsams, strawberries and their pollinators in a warmer world.BMC plant biology · 2021Article
- Extreme Drought Affects Visitation and Seed Set in a Plant Species in the Central Chilean Andes Heavily Dependent on Hummingbird Pollination.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020Article
- Global warming and plant-pollinator mismatches.Emerging topics in life sciences · 2020Review
- How ecosystem services are changing: an accounting application at the EU level.Ecosystem services · 2019Article
- Different ways to die in a changing world: Consequences of climate change for tree species performance and survival through an ecophysiological perspective.Ecology and evolution · 2019Review
- Climate change, range shifts, and the disruption of a pollinator-plant complex.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Data relating to threats to passion fruit production in the Neotropics due to agricultural area loss and pollinator mismatch as consequence of climate changes.Data in brief · 2019Article
- Latitudinal effects on phenology near the northern limit of figs in China.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Comparing mechanistic and empirical approaches to modeling the thermal niche of almond.International journal of biometeorology · 2017Article
- Long-term effect of temperature on honey yield and honeybee phenology.International journal of biometeorology · 2017Article
- Elevated temperature drives a shift from selfing to outcrossing in the insect-pollinated legume, faba bean (Vicia faba).Journal of experimental botany · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Understanding how climate change can affect crop-pollinator systems helps predict potential geographical mismatches between a crop and its pollinators, and therefore identify areas vulnerable to loss of pollination services. We examined the distribution of orchard species (apples, pears, plums and other top fruits) and their pollinators in Great Britain, for present and future climatic conditions projected for 2050 under the SRES A1B Emissions Scenario. We used a relative index of pollinator availability as a proxy for pollination service. At present, there is a large spatial overlap between orchards and their pollinators, but predictions for 2050 revealed that the most suitable areas for orchards corresponded to low pollinator availability. However, we found that pollinator availability may persist in areas currently used for fruit production, which are predicted to provide suboptimal environmental suitability for orchard species in the future. Our results may be used to identify mitigation options to safeguard orchard production against the risk of pollination failure in Great Britain over the next 50 years; for instance, choosing fruit tree varieties that are adapted to future climatic conditions, or boosting wild pollinators through improving landscape resources. Our approach can be readily applied to other regions and crop systems, and expanded to include different climatic scenarios.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.