Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24626215›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

The temporal version of the pediatric sepsis biomarker risk model.

Hector R Wong, Scott L Weiss, John S Giuliano, Mark S Wainwright, Natalie Z Cvijanovich, Neal J Thomas, Geoffrey L Allen, Nick Anas, Michael T Bigham, Mark Hall and 15 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Biomarkers in pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome.Annals of translational medicine · 2019
    Review
  8. Sepsis Biomarkers.Journal of pediatric intensive care · 2019
    Review
  9. Evidence of Endotypes in Pediatric Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure Caused by Sepsis.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2019
    Article
  10. Hypofibrinogenemia Is Associated With Poor Outcome and Secondary Hemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis/Macrophage Activation Syndrome in Pediatric Severe Sepsis.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2018
    Observational
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Observational
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Sepsis in Pediatric Cardiac Intensive Care.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2016
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors at 19 institutions in 1 country.

Hector R WongDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, Ohio, United States of America; Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio, United States of America.
Scott L WeissThe Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
John S GiulianoDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Mark S WainwrightAnn and Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America.
Natalie Z CvijanovichChildren's Hospital and Research Center Oakland, Oakland, California, United States of America.
Neal J ThomasPenn State Hershey Children's Hospital, Hershey, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Geoffrey L AllenChildren's Mercy Hospital, Kansas City, Missouri, United States of America.
Nick AnasChildren's Hospital of Orange County, Orange, California, United States of America.
Michael T BighamAkron Children's Hospital, Akron, Ohio, United States of America.
Mark HallNationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, Ohio, United States of America.
Robert J FreishtatChildren's National Medical Center, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Anita SenMorgan Stanley Children's Hospital, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, New York, United States of America.
Keith MeyerMiami Children's Hospital, Miami, Florida, United States of America.
Paul A ChecchiaTexas Children's Hospital, Houston, Texas, United States of America.
Thomas P ShanleyCS Mott Children's Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America.
Jeffrey NowakChildren's Hospital and Clinics of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America.
Michael QuasneyCS Mott Children's Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America.
Arun ChopraSt. Christopher's Hospital for Children, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Julie C FitzgeraldThe Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Rainer GedeitChildren's Hospital of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Sharon BanschbachDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, Ohio, United States of America.
Eileen BeckmanDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, Ohio, United States of America.
Kelli HarmonDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, Ohio, United States of America.
Patrick LahniDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, Ohio, United States of America.
Christopher J LindsellDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio, United States of America.
Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center · USChildren's Hospital of Philadelphia · USMichigan United · USAkron Children's Hospital · USChildren's Hospital of Orange County · USChildren's Hospital of Wisconsin · USChildren's Mercy Hospital · USChildren's Minnesota · USChildren's National · USColumbia University · USLurie Children's Hospital · USMiami Children's Hospital · USNationwide Children's Hospital · USPenn State Milton S. Hershey Medical Center · USSt. Christopher's Hospital for Children · USTexas Children's Hospital · USUniversity of Cincinnati · USUniversity of Cincinnati Medical Center · USYale University · US

Funding

Pediatric Critical Care Scientist Development ProgramK12HD047349 · NICHD · UTAH STATE HIGHER EDUCATION SYSTEM--UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI HEATHER T. KEENAN, Kevin M Watt · 2004 to 2026
$17.0M
Cincinnati Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences and TrainingUL1TR000077 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E., TSEVAT, JOEL · 2012 to 2014
$9.9M
HOST RESPONSE TO TRAUMA RESEARCH TRAINING PROGRAMT32GM008478 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI TIMOTHY A PRITTS, BASILIA ZINGARELLI · 1993 to 2026
$6.7M
Genomic analysis of pediatric SIRS and septic shockR01GM064619 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2003 to 2009
$3.0M
Stratification of pediatric septic shockR01GM099773 · NIGMS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2012 to 2015
$1.5M
THE PEDIATRIC SEPSIS BIOMARKER RISK MODELRC1HL100474 · NHLBI · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI WONG, HECTOR R. · 2009 to 2010
$1000k
NCATS NIH HHS 8UL1 TR000077NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000077NHLBI NIH HHS RC1 HL100474NHLBI NIH HHS RC1HL100474NICHD NIH HHS K12 HD047349NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM064619NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM064619NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM099773NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM099773NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM008478
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPERSEVERE is a risk model for estimating mortality probability in pediatric septic shock, using five biomarkers measured within 24 hours of clinical presentation.

objectiveHere, we derive and test a temporal version of PERSEVERE (tPERSEVERE) that considers biomarker values at the first and third day following presentation to estimate the probability of a "complicated course", defined as persistence of ≥2 organ failures at seven days after meeting criteria for septic shock, or death within 28 days.

methodsBiomarkers were measured in the derivation cohort (n = 225) using serum samples obtained during days 1 and 3 of septic shock. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to derive a model to estimate the risk of a complicated course. The derived model was validated in the test cohort (n = 74), and subsequently updated using the combined derivation and test cohorts.

resultsA complicated course occurred in 23% of the derivation cohort subjects. The derived model had a sensitivity for a complicated course of 90% (95% CI 78-96), specificity was 70% (62-77), positive predictive value was 47% (37-58), and negative predictive value was 96% (91-99). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.85 (0.79-0.90). Similar test characteristics were observed in the test cohort. The updated model had a sensitivity of 91% (81-96), a specificity of 70% (64-76), a positive predictive value of 47% (39-56), and a negative predictive value of 96% (92-99).

conclusionstPERSEVERE reasonably estimates the probability of a complicated course in children with septic shock. tPERSEVERE could potentially serve as an adjunct to physiological assessments for monitoring how risk for poor outcomes changes during early interventions in pediatric septic shock.

Indexed as

PediatricsPrognosisBiomarkersChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHeat-Shock ResponseHumansInfantMaleModels, TheoreticalMortalityRisk AssessmentShock, SepticBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID24626215
PMCPMC3953585
OpenAlexW1976777137

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.