ArticlePloS one2014
Modeling the impact on HIV incidence of combination prevention strategies among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.
- Peer counselling versus standard-of-care on reducing high-risk behaviours among newly diagnosed HIV-positive men who have sex with men in Beijing, China: a randomized intervention study.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2018Trial
- Sexual Behaviors Linked to Drug and Alcohol Use Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in China.Substance use & misuse · 2016Trial
- Low CD4 count was characterized in recent HIV CRF01_AE infection and it rapidly increased to reach a peak in the first year since ART initiation.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Predicting the long-term impact of voluntary medical male circumcision on HIV incidence among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China.AIDS care · 2020Article
- Treatment as Prevention: Concepts and Challenges for Reducing HIV Incidence.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2019Article
- Interventions to improve the HIV continuum of care in China.Current HIV/AIDS reports · 2019Review
- Modeling economic and epidemiological impact of voluntary medical male circumcision among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China.International journal of STD & AIDS · 2019Article
- Article
- The effects of free condom distribution on HIV and other sexually transmitted infections in men who have sex with men.BMC infectious diseases · 2019Article
- HIV Epidemiology and Prevention in Southwestern China: Trends from 1996-2017.Current HIV research · 2019Review
- Comparison of different strategies for controlling HIV/AIDS spreading in MSM.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2018Article
- Measuring Sexual Behavior Stigma to Inform Effective HIV Prevention and Treatment Programs for Key Populations.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2017Article
- Article
- Beyond Condoms: Risk Reduction Strategies Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex With Men Receiving Rapid HIV Testing in Montreal, Canada.AIDS and behavior · 2016Article
- Alcohol misuse, risky sexual behaviors, and HIV or syphilis infections among Chinese men who have sex with men.Drug and alcohol dependence · 2016Article
- Seeking Male Sexual Partners via Internet and Traditional Venues among Chinese Men Who Have Sex with Men: Implications for HIV Risk Reduction Interventions.AIDS and behavior · 2016Article
- Frequent HIV Testing: Impact on HIV Risk Among Chinese Men Who Have Sex with Men.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2016Article
- Sexual Stigma, Coping Styles, and Psychological Distress: A Longitudinal Study of Men Who Have Sex With Men in Beijing, China.Archives of sexual behavior · 2016Article
- Article
- HIV Epidemic in Asia: Implications for HIV Vaccine and Other Prevention Trials.AIDS research and human retroviruses · 2015Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
11 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveTo project the HIV/AIDS epidemics among men who have sex with men (MSM) under different combinations of HIV testing and linkage to care (TLC) interventions including antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Beijing, China.
designMathematical modeling.
methodsUsing a mathematical model to fit prevalence estimates from 2000-2010, we projected trends in HIV prevalence and incidence during 2011-2020 under five scenarios: (S1) current intervention levels by averaging 2000-2010 coverage; (S2) increased ART coverage with current TLC; (S3) increased TLC/ART coverage; (S4) increased condom use; and (S5) increased TLC/ART plus increased condom use.
resultsThe basic reproduction number based upon the current level of interventions is significantly higher than 1 (R0 = 2.09; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.83-2.35), suggesting that the HIV epidemic will continue to increase to 2020. Compared to the 2010 prevalence of 7.8%, the projected HIV prevalence in 2020 for the five prevention scenarios will be: (S1) Current coverage: 21.4% (95% CI, 9.9-31.7%); (S2) Increased ART: 19.9% (95% CI, 9.9-28.4%); (S3) Increased TLC/ART: 14.5% (95% CI, 7.0-23.8%); (S4) Increased condom use: 13.0% (95% CI, 9.8-28.4%); and (S5) Increased TLC/ART and condom use: 8.7% (95% CI, 5.4-11.5%). HIV epidemic will continue to rise (R0 > 1) for S1-S4 even with hyperbolic coverage in the sensitivity analysis, and is expected to decline (R0 = 0.93) for S5.
conclusionOur transmission model suggests that Beijing MSM will have a rapidly rising HIV epidemic. Even enhanced levels of TLC/ART will not interrupt epidemic expansion, despite optimistic assumptions for coverage. Promoting condom use is a crucial component of combination interventions.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.