Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24602132›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2014

Quantification of population benefit in evaluation of biomarkers: practical implications for disease detection and prevention.

Xiaohong Li, Patricia L Blount, Brian J Reid, Thomas L Vaughan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. The Barrett's Gland in Phenotype Space.Cellular and molecular gastroenterology and hepatology · 2015
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Xiaohong LiDivisions of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Ave, N,, Seattle, WA 98109, USA. xili@fhcrc.org.
Patricia L Blount
Brian J Reid
Thomas L Vaughan

Funding

PHYLOGENIES of Barrett's Esophagus LineagesP01CA091955 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI GRADY, WILLIAM MALLORY · 2002 to 2019
$35.9M
Barrett's and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Genetic Susceptibility Study (BEAGESS)R01CA136725 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI VAUGHAN, THOMAS L, WHITEMAN, DAVID C · 2009 to 2011
$7.8M
(PQA1) Aspirin and Inflammation: Mutations, Genes, Pathways and PreventionR01CA179949 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI LI, XIAOHONG, REID, BRIAN J · 2013 to 2016
$1.9M
ESTABLISHED INVESTIGATOR AWARD IN CANCER PREVENTION AND CONTROLK05CA124911 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI VAUGHAN, THOMAS L · 2007 to 2016
$1.6M
Predictors of Progression from Barrett's Esophagus to esophageal adenocarcinomaRC1CA146973 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI REID, BRIAN J · 2009 to 2010
$998k
NCI NIH HHS K05 CA124911NCI NIH HHS P01 CA091955NCI NIH HHS R01 CA136725NCI NIH HHS R01 CA179949NCI NIH HHS RC1 CA146973
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith the rapid development of "-omic" technologies, an increasing number of purported biomarkers have been identified for cancer and other diseases. The process of identifying those that are most promising and validating them for use at the population level for prevention and early detection is a critical next step in achieving significant health benefits.

methodsIn this paper, we propose that in order to effectively translate biomarkers for practical clinical use, it is important to distinguish and quantify the differences between the use of biomarkers and other risk factors to identify preventive interventions versus their use in disease risk prediction and early detection. We developed mathematical models for quantitatively evaluating risk and benefit in use of biomarkers for disease prevention or early detection. Simple numerical examples were used to demonstrate the potential applications of the models for various types of data.

resultsWe propose an index which takes into account potential adverse consequences of biomarker-driven interventions - the 'naïve' ratio of population benefit (RPB) - to facilitate evaluating the potential impact of biomarkers on cancer prevention and personalized medicine. The index RPB is developed for both binary and continuous biomarkers/risk factors. Examples with computational analyses are presented in the paper to contrast the differences in using biomarkers/risk factors for prevention and early detection.

conclusionsIntegrating epidemiologic knowledge into clinical decision making is a key step to translate new biomarkers/risk factors into practical use to achieve health benefits. The RPB proposed in this paper considers the absolute risk of a disease in intervention, and takes into account the risk-benefit effects simultaneously for a marker/exposure at the population level. The RPB illustrates a unique approach to quantitatively assess the risk and potential benefits of using a biomarker/risk factor for intervention in both early detection and prevention.

Indexed as

BiomarkersEarly DiagnosisEpidemiologic FactorsModels, TheoreticalPrimary PreventionHumansRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSensitivity and SpecificityBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID24602132
PMCPMC3996972

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.