Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24600256›Full record

ArticleRisk management and healthcare policy2014

Validation of a clinical risk-scoring algorithm for severe scrub typhus.

Pamornsri Sriwongpan, Jayanton Patumanond, Pornsuda Krittigamas, Hutsaya Tantipong, Chamaiporn Tawichasri, Sirianong Namwongprom

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Risk management and healthcare policy, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Validation of a Clinical Risk-scoring Algorithm for Scrub Typhus Severity in South India.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2021
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Scrub typhus: risks, diagnostic issues, and management challenges.Research and reports in tropical medicine · 2017
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Pamornsri SriwongpanClinical Epidemiology Program, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai ; Department of Social Medicine, Chiangrai Prachanukroh Hospital, Chiang Rai.
Jayanton PatumanondClinical Epidemiology Program, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Bangkok.
Pornsuda KrittigamasDepartment of General Pediatrics, Nakornping Hospital, Chiang Mai.
Hutsaya TantipongDepartment of Medicine, Chonburi Hospital, Chonburi.
Chamaiporn TawichasriClinical Epidemiology Society at Chiang Mai, Chiang Mai.
Sirianong NamwongpromClinical Epidemiology Program, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai ; Department of Radiology, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe aim of the study reported here was to validate the risk-scoring algorithm for prognostication of scrub typhus severity.

methodsThe risk-scoring algorithm for prognostication of scrub typhus severity developed earlier from two general hospitals in Thailand was validated using an independent dataset of scrub typhus patients in one of the hospitals from a few years later. The predictive performances of the two datasets were compared by analysis of the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AuROC). Classification of patients into non-severe, severe, and fatal cases was also compared.

resultsThe proportions of non-severe, severe, and fatal patients by operational definition were similar between the development and validation datasets. Patient, clinical, and laboratory profiles were also similar. Scores were similar in both datasets, both in terms of discriminating non-severe from severe and fatal patients (AuROC =88.74% versus 91.48%, P=0.324), and in discriminating fatal from severe and non-severe patients (AuROC =88.66% versus 91.22%, P=0.407). Over- and under-estimations were similar and were clinically acceptable.

conclusionThe previously developed risk-scoring algorithm for prognostication of scrub typhus severity performed similarly with the validation data and the first dataset. The scoring algorithm may help in the prognostication of patients according to their severity in routine clinical practice. Clinicians may use this scoring system to help make decisions about more intensive investigations and appropriate treatments.

Indexed as

algorithmclinical prediction ruleprognosisseverityThailand

Identifiers

PMID24600256
PMCPMC3933538

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