ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2014
A belief-based model for characterizing the spread of awareness and its impacts on individuals' vaccination decisions.
Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Behavioural change models for infectious disease transmission: a systematic review (2010-2015).Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2016Pooled it
- Decoding vaccine hesitancy: a health belief model-driven comparative study of vaccination awareness dynamics in COVID-19 vaccination intentions.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Modelling the interplay between responsive individual vaccination decisions and the spread of SARS-CoV-2.Epidemics · 2025Article
- [Pneumococcal vaccination in people aged 60 and over: relationships between vaccination intention, knowledge, and psychological reasons for the vaccination decision].Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz · 2025Article
- Collective effect of self-learning and social learning on language dynamics: a naming game approach in social networks.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2024Article
- The impact of awareness diffusion on the spread of COVID-19 based on a two-layer SEIR/V-UA epidemic model.Journal of medical virology · 2021Article
- Social-psychological Determinants of the Implementation of Green Infrastructure for Residential Stormwater Management.Environmental management · 2021Article
- Modeling the competitive diffusions of rumor and knowledge and the impacts on epidemic spreading.Applied mathematics and computation · 2021Article
- False beliefs can bootstrap cooperative communities through social norms.Evolutionary human sciences · 2021Article
- Towards a data-driven characterization of behavioral changes induced by the seasonal flu.PLoS computational biology · 2020Article
- Coevolution spreading in complex networks.Physics reports · 2019Review
- Epidemic prevalence information on social networks can mediate emergent collective outcomes in voluntary vaccine schemes.PLoS computational biology · 2019Article
- Exploring Voluntary Vaccinating Behaviors using Evolutionary N-person Threshold Games.Scientific reports · 2017Article
- Voluntary Vaccination through Self-organizing Behaviors on Locally-mixed Social Networks.Scientific reports · 2017Article
- Prevention of infectious diseases by public vaccination and individual protection.Journal of mathematical biology · 2016Article
- A social contagious model of the obesity epidemic.Scientific reports · 2016Article
- Evidence Combination From an Evolutionary Game Theory Perspective.IEEE transactions on cybernetics · 2016Article
- Beyond Rational Decision-Making: Modelling the Influence of Cognitive Biases on the Dynamics of Vaccination Coverage.PloS one · 2015Article
- Global burden, distribution, and interventions for infectious diseases of poverty.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2014Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
During an epidemic, individuals' decisions on whether or not to take vaccine may affect the dynamics of disease spread and, therefore, the effectiveness of disease control. Empirical studies have shown that such decisions can be subjected to individuals' awareness about disease and vaccine, such as their perceived disease severity and vaccine safety. The aim of this paper is to gain a better understanding of individuals' vaccination behaviour by modelling the spread of awareness in a group of socially connected individuals and examining the associated impacts on their vaccination decision-making. In our model, we examine whether or not individuals will get vaccinated as well as when they would. In doing so, we consider three possible decisions from an individual, i.e., to accept, to reject, and yet to decide, and further associate them with a set of belief values. Next, we extend the Dempster-Shafer theory to characterize individuals' belief value updates and their decision-making, having incorporated the awareness obtained from their connected neighbours. Furthermore, we examine two factors that will affect individuals' vaccination decisions: (i) reporting rates of disease- and vaccine-related events, and (ii) fading coefficient of awareness spread. By doing so, we can assess the impacts of awareness spread by evaluating the vaccination dynamics in terms of the number of vaccinated individuals. The results have demonstrated that the former influences the ratio of vaccinated individuals, whereas the latter affects the time when individuals decide to take vaccine.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.