Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24593895›Full record

ArticleBMC veterinary research2014

Spillover of pH1N1 to swine in Cameroon: an investigation of risk factors.

Brenda Larison, Kevin Y Njabo, Anthony Chasar, Trevon Fuller, Ryan J Harrigan, Thomas B Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC veterinary research, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Characteristics of the 100 largest modern zoonotic disease outbreaks.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Brenda LarisonCenter for Tropical Research, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, University of California, 619 Charles E, Young Drive East, Los Angeles, California 90095, USA. blarison@ucla.edu.
Kevin Y Njabo
Anthony Chasar
Trevon Fuller
Ryan J Harrigan
Thomas B Smith

Funding

Ecology-Based Risk Assessment and Early Warning for HPAI in AsiaR01TW007869 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA · PI XIAO, XIANGMING · 2006 to 2011
$3.7M
FIC NIH HHS R01-TW007869
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe 2009 pH1N1 influenza pandemic resulted in at least 18,500 deaths worldwide. While pH1N1 is now considered to be in a post-pandemic stage in humans it has nevertheless spilled back into swine in at least 20 countries. Understanding the factors that increase the risk of spillover events between swine and humans is essential to predicting and preventing future outbreaks. We assessed risk factors that may have led to spillover of pH1N1 from humans to swine in Cameroon, Central Africa. We sampled swine, domestic poultry and wild birds for influenza A virus at twelve sites in Cameroon from December 2009 while the pandemic was ongoing, to August 2012. At the same time we conducted point-count surveys to assess the abundance of domestic livestock and wild birds and assess interspecific contact rates. Random forest models were used to assess which variables were the best predictors of influenza in swine.

resultsWe found swine with either active pH1N1 infections or positive for influenza A at four of our 12 sites. Only one swine tested positive by competitive ELISA in 2011-2012. To date we have found pH1N1 only in the North and Extreme North regions of Cameroon (regions in Cameroon are administrative units similar to provinces), though half of our sites are in the Central and Western regions. Swine husbandry practices differ between the North and Extreme North regions where it is common practice in to let swine roam freely, and the Central and Western regions where swine are typically confined to pens. Random forest analyses revealed that the three best predictors of the presence of pH1N1 in swine were contact rates between free-ranging swine and domestic ducks, contact rates between free-ranging swine and wild Columbiformes, and contact rates between humans and ducks. Sites in which swine were allowed to range freely had closer contact with other species than did sites in which swine were kept penned.

conclusionsResults suggest that the practice of allowing swine to roam freely is a significant risk factor for spillover of influenza from humans into swine populations.

Indexed as

Influenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeAnimal HusbandryAnimalsCameroonOrthomyxoviridae InfectionsRisk FactorsSwineSwine Diseases

Identifiers

PMID24593895
PMCPMC4016523

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.