Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24590937›Full record

ArticleHealth affairs (Project Hope)2014

Prevention and treatment produced large decreases in HIV incidence in a model of people who inject drugs.

Brandon D L Marshall, Samuel R Friedman, João F G Monteiro, Magdalena Paczkowski, Barbara Tempalski, Enrique R Pouget, Mark N Lurie, Sandro Galea

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health affairs (Project Hope), 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. HIV/AIDS and the African-American Community 2018: a Decade Call to Action.Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities · 2018
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Network Viral Load: A Critical Metric for HIV Elimination.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2018
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Brandon D L Marshall
Samuel R Friedman
João F G Monteiro
Magdalena Paczkowski
Barbara Tempalski
Enrique R Pouget
Mark N Lurie
Sandro Galea
Brown University · USInfectious Disease Research Institute · USHerman Miller (United States) · USHospital de São João · PTNational Development and Research Institutes · USPhiladelphia Department of Public Health · US

Funding

Translational ScienceP30AI042853 · NIAID · MIRIAM HOSPITAL · PI CURT G BECKWITH · 1998 to 2026
$51.7M
HIV and Other Infectious Consequences of Substance UseT32DA013911 · NIDA · MIRIAM HOSPITAL · PI TRACI C GREEN, JOSIAH D RICH · 2001 to 2026
$9.6M
COMMUNITY VULNERABILITY AND RESPONSES TO IDU-RELATED HIVR01DA013336 · NIDA · NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT &RES INSTITUTES · PI COOPER, HANNAH LF, FRIEDMAN, SAMUEL R · 2000 to 2013
$7.6M
Spatial Analysis CoreR24HD041020 · NICHD · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI LOGAN, JOHN R · 2001 to 2016
$7.4M
NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI042853NIAID NIH HHS P30-AI042853NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD041020NIDA NIH HHS R01-DA013336NIDA NIH HHS T32-DA013911
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the United States, people who inject drugs continue to be at greatly increased risk of HIV infection. To estimate the effectiveness of various prevention scenarios, we modeled HIV transmission in a dynamic network of drug users and people who did not use drugs that was based on the New York Metropolitan Statistical Area population. We compared the projected HIV incidence in 2020 and 2040 if current approaches continue to be used to the incidence if one or more of the following hypothetical interventions were applied: increased HIV testing, improved access to substance abuse treatment, increased use of needle and syringe programs, scaled-up treatment as prevention, and a "high impact" combination scenario, consisting of all of the strategies listed above. No strategy completely eliminated HIV transmission. The high-impact combination strategy produced the largest decrease in HIV incidence-a 62 percent reduction compared to the status quo. Our results suggest that increased resources for and investments in multiple HIV prevention approaches will be required to eliminate HIV transmission among people who inject drugs.

Indexed as

AdultComputer SimulationFemaleForecastingHealth Services AccessibilityHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleNew York CityStochastic ProcessesSubstance Abuse, IntravenousSubstance Abuse Treatment CentersTreatment OutcomeUtilization ReviewAIDS/HIVEpidemiologyMental Health/Substance AbusePublic HealthSpecial Populations

Identifiers

PMID24590937
PMCPMC4469974
OpenAlexW2005325503

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.