ArticlePloS one2014
Using mathematical transmission modelling to investigate drivers of respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in children in the Philippines.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Mathematical modelling of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review.Epidemics · 2021Pooled it
- The limitations of non-mechanistic methods for characterizing pathogen-pathogen interactions: A simulation study.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Impact of routine prophylaxis with monoclonal antibodies and maternal immunisation to prevent respiratory syncytial virus hospitalisations, Lombardy region, Italy, 2024/25 season.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025Article
- Modelling respiratory syncytial virus age-specific risk of hospitalisation in term and preterm infants.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Factors associated with severe respiratory syncytial virus infection among hospitalized children in Thammasat University Hospital.F1000Research · 2024Article
- Nonlinear and Multidelayed Effects of Meteorological Drivers on Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Japan.Viruses · 2023Article
- Etiological and clinical characteristics of severe pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU).BMC pediatrics · 2023Article
- Burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Related Acute Lower Respiratory Tract Infection in Hospitalized Thai Children: A 6-Year National Data Analysis.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Use of mathematical modelling to assess respiratory syncytial virus epidemiology and interventions: a literature review.Journal of mathematical biology · 2022Review
- Drivers of respiratory syncytial virus seasonal epidemics in children under 5 years in Kilifi, coastal Kenya.PloS one · 2022Article
- Epidemiology and Seasonality of Childhood Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections in the Tropics.Viruses · 2021Review
- Scoping Review of Climate Change and Health Research in the Philippines: A Complementary Tool in Research Agenda-Setting.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Respiratory syncytial virus tracking using internet search engine data.BMC public health · 2018Article
- Meteorological factors and respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in subtropical Australia.Epidemiology and infection · 2018Article
- Timing of First Respiratory Virus Detections in Infants: A Community-Based Birth Cohort Study.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2018Article
- Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2017Review
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- Environmental drivers of the spatiotemporal dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in the United States.PLoS pathogens · 2015Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We used a mathematical transmission model to estimate when ecological drivers of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) transmissibility would need to act in order to produce the observed seasonality of RSV in the Philippines. We estimated that a seasonal peak in transmissibility would need to occur approximately 51 days prior to the observed peak in RSV cases (range 49 to 67 days). We then compared this estimated seasonal pattern of transmissibility to the seasonal patterns of possible ecological drivers of transmissibility: rainfall, humidity and temperature patterns, nutritional status, and school holidays. The timing of the seasonal patterns of nutritional status and rainfall were both consistent with the estimated seasonal pattern of transmissibility and these are both plausible drivers of the seasonality of RSV in this setting.
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