Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24577374›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2014

The relative ineffectiveness of criminal network disruption.

Paul A C Duijn, Victor Kashirin, Peter M A Sloot

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. The paradox of intervention: Resilience in adaptive multirole coordination networks.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  11. Disrupting hate: The effect of deplatforming hate organizations on their online audience.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Paul A C Duijn1] Department of Research and Analysis, Unit The Hague, Dutch Police [2].
Victor Kashirin1] ITMO University St. Petersburg, Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation [2].
Peter M A Sloot1] ITMO University St. Petersburg, Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation [2] The University of Amsterdam, Faculty of Science, The Netherlands [3] Nanyang Technological University, Singapore.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Researchers, policymakers and law enforcement agencies across the globe struggle to find effective strategies to control criminal networks. The effectiveness of disruption strategies is known to depend on both network topology and network resilience. However, as these criminal networks operate in secrecy, data-driven knowledge concerning the effectiveness of different criminal network disruption strategies is very limited. By combining computational modeling and social network analysis with unique criminal network intelligence data from the Dutch Police, we discovered, in contrast to common belief, that criminal networks might even become 'stronger', after targeted attacks. On the other hand increased efficiency within criminal networks decreases its internal security, thus offering opportunities for law enforcement agencies to target these networks more deliberately. Our results emphasize the importance of criminal network interventions at an early stage, before the network gets a chance to (re-)organize to maximum resilience. In the end disruption strategies force criminal networks to become more exposed, which causes successful network disruption to become a long-term effort.

Indexed as

Game TheoryModels, StatisticalSocial SupportComputer SimulationCrimeCriminalsNetherlandsPolice

Identifiers

PMID24577374
PMCPMC3937802

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.