ArticleTheScientificWorldJournal2014
Environmental temperature and thermal indices: what is the most effective predictor of heat-related mortality in different geographical contexts?
Article in TheScientificWorldJournal, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 72 citations in OpenAlex.
- Thermal indices for assessing the impact of outdoor thermal environments on human health: a systematic review of epidemiological studies.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Pooled it
- Is planned adaptation to heat reducing heat-related mortality and illness? A systematic review.BMC public health · 2014Pooled it
- Cause-specific heat-related mortality in Rio de Janeiro city: Comparing exposure metrics and the role of exposure duration.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2026Article
- Thermal environment and indices: an analysis for effectiveness in operational weather applications in a Mediterranean city (Athens, Greece).International journal of biometeorology · 2024Article
- Article
- The impact of extreme temperatures on human mortality in the most populated cities of Romania.International journal of biometeorology · 2022Article
- Long-term changes in hazardous heat and cold stress in humans: multi-city study in Poland.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Article
- Association between meteorological variables and semen quality: a retrospective study.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Article
- Adapting to Changing Labor Productivity as a Result of Intensified Heat Stress in a Changing Climate.GeoHealth · 2021Article
- Effect of Intermittent and Mild Cold Stimulation on the Immune Function of Bursa in Broilers.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2020Article
- Heat waves in South Korea: differences of heat wave characteristics by thermal indices.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2019Article
- An Occupational Heat-Health Warning System for Europe: The HEAT-SHIELD Platform.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Heat Warnings in Switzerland: Reassessing the Choice of the Current Heat Stress Index.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- The predictability of heat-related mortality in Prague, Czech Republic, during summer 2015-a comparison of selected thermal indices.International journal of biometeorology · 2019Article
- Impacts of the 2015 Heat Waves on Mortality in the Czech Republic-A Comparison with Previous Heat Waves.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Article
- Biometeorological Assessment of Mortality Related to Extreme Temperatures in Helsinki Region, Finland, 1972-2014.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Article
- Susceptibility to Heat-Related Fluid and Electrolyte Imbalance Emergency Department Visits in Atlanta, Georgia, USA.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2016Article
- A Spatial Framework to Map Heat Health Risks at Multiple Scales.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2015Article
- Distinct atmospheric patterns and associations with acute heat-induced mortality in five regions of England.International journal of biometeorology · 2015Article
- Developing a heatwave early warning system for Sweden: evaluating sensitivity of different epidemiological modelling approaches to forecast temperatures.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2014Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The aim of this study is to identify the most effective thermal predictor of heat-related very-elderly mortality in two cities located in different geographical contexts of central Italy. We tested the hypothesis that use of the state-of-the-art rational thermal indices, the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), might provide an improvement in predicting heat-related mortality with respect to other predictors. Data regarding very elderly people (≥ 75 years) who died in inland and coastal cities from 2006 to 2008 (May-October) and meteorological and air pollution were obtained from the regional mortality and environmental archives. Rational (UTCI) and direct thermal indices represented by a set of bivariate/multivariate apparent temperature indices were assessed. Correlation analyses and generalized additive models were applied. The Akaike weights were used for the best model selection. Direct multivariate indices showed the highest correlations with UTCI and were also selected as the best thermal predictors of heat-related mortality for both inland and coastal cities. Conversely, the UTCI was never identified as the best thermal predictor. The use of direct multivariate indices, which also account for the extra effect of wind speed and/or solar radiation, revealed the best fitting with all-cause, very-elderly mortality attributable to heat stress.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.