ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2014
Wet climate and transportation routes accelerate spread of human plague.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Dual seasonal pattern for hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and its potential determinants in China.The Science of the total environment · 2023Pooled it
- Assessing plague risk across seven decades of environmental change in Inner Mongolia, China: An interpretable machine learning.iScience · 2026Article
- Study on the differentiated impact of climate change on plague epidemics in Northern and Southern China, 1912-1949.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Anti-infective compounds forSustainable microbiology · 2026Review
- Plagued by the Past, Pressed by the Present: A One Health Perspective onBiomedicines · 2025Review
- Madagascar's Plague: One Health Research Aims to Slow Its Spread.Environmental health perspectives · 2024Article
- The role of reservoir species in mediating plague's dynamic response to climate.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Plagued by a cryptic clock: insight and issues from the global phylogeny of Yersinia pestis.Communications biology · 2023Article
- Correlation analysis between the occurrence of epidemic in ancient China and solar activity.Science China. Earth sciences · 2023Article
- Palaeoecological data indicates land-use changes across Europe linked to spatial heterogeneity in mortality during the Black Death pandemic.Nature ecology & evolution · 2022Article
- Climate Change and Vector-Borne Diseases in China: A Review of Evidence and Implications for Risk Management.Biology · 2022Review
- Plague risk in the western United States over seven decades of environmental change.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Modeling analysis revealed the distinct global transmission patterns of influenza A viruses and their influencing factors.Integrative zoology · 2021Article
- Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020Article
- Climate drivers of plague epidemiology in British India, 1898-1949.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Article
- Phylogeography of the second plague pandemic revealed through analysis of historical Yersinia pestis genomes.Nature communications · 2019Article
- Historical and genomic data reveal the influencing factors on global transmission velocity of plague during the Third Pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019Article
- Human plague system associated with rodent diversity and other environmental factors.Royal Society open science · 2019Article
- Pre-industrial plague transmission is mediated by the synergistic effect of temperature and aridity index.BMC infectious diseases · 2018Article
- Phenotypic and Molecular Genetic Characteristics ofThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Currently, large-scale transmissions of infectious diseases are becoming more closely associated with accelerated globalization and climate change, but quantitative analyses are still rare. By using an extensive dataset consisting of date and location of cases for the third plague pandemic from 1772 to 1964 in China and a novel method (nearest neighbour approach) which deals with both short- and long-distance transmissions, we found the presence of major roads, rivers and coastline accelerated the spread of plague and shaped the transmission patterns. We found that plague spread velocity was positively associated with wet conditions (measured by an index of drought and flood events) in China, probably due to flood-driven transmission by people or rodents. Our study provides new insights on transmission patterns and possible mechanisms behind variability in transmission speed, with implications for prevention and control measures. The methodology may also be applicable to studies of disease dynamics or species movement in other systems.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.